Recent Météo-France guidance points to a cooldown in the Île-de-France region on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum near 26°C after several hotter days under stronger southerly flow. This shift stems from evolving high-pressure positioning and increased northwesterly influence that limits afternoon heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France supports a narrow 25–27°C window, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–28°C yet tempered by the transient atmospheric setup. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects weighting of these verified forecast runs against minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual urban heat-island effects in central Paris. Updated model outputs and official briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 6 août ?
25°C 51%
26°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
51%
26°C
36%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
51%
26°C
36%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance points to a cooldown in the Île-de-France region on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum near 26°C after several hotter days under stronger southerly flow. This shift stems from evolving high-pressure positioning and increased northwesterly influence that limits afternoon heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France supports a narrow 25–27°C window, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–28°C yet tempered by the transient atmospheric setup. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects weighting of these verified forecast runs against minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual urban heat-island effects in central Paris. Updated model outputs and official briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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