Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily maxima of 25–26°C on August 7 under largely sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages near 24–25°C while reflecting the influence of a transient Atlantic high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, supporting the market’s concentration on 26–28°C outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 7 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 7 août ?
27°C 45%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
32°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
45%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
27°C 45%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
32°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$72 Vol.
5%
26°C
$34 Vol.
18%
27°C
$147 Vol.
45%
28°C
$103 Vol.
27%
29°C
$69 Vol.
5%
30°C
$15 Vol.
3%
31°C
$17 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily maxima of 25–26°C on August 7 under largely sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages near 24–25°C while reflecting the influence of a transient Atlantic high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, supporting the market’s concentration on 26–28°C outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$462Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily maxima of 25–26°C on August 7 under largely sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages near 24–25°C while reflecting the influence of a transient Atlantic high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, supporting the market’s concentration on 26–28°C outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$462Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily maxima of 25–26°C on August 7 under largely sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages near 24–25°C while reflecting the influence of a transient Atlantic high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, supporting the market’s concentration on 26–28°C outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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