Latest meteorological model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely peak between 32–33 °C amid ongoing warm-air advection under high pressure, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological service guidance expected before market resolution will clarify whether marginal cooling or additional warming tips the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 6 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 6 août ?
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
29°C ou moins
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
36%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 août 2026
29°C ou moins
$641 Vol.
2%
30°C
$278 Vol.
3%
31°C
$998 Vol.
14%
32°C
$443 Vol.
31%
33°C
$3,215 Vol.
36%
34°C
$932 Vol.
12%
35°C
$800 Vol.
5%
36°C
$98 Vol.
1%
37°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
39°C ou plus
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely peak between 32–33 °C amid ongoing warm-air advection under high pressure, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological service guidance expected before market resolution will clarify whether marginal cooling or additional warming tips the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$8,217Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely peak between 32–33 °C amid ongoing warm-air advection under high pressure, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological service guidance expected before market resolution will clarify whether marginal cooling or additional warming tips the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,217Date de fin
6 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely peak between 32–33 °C amid ongoing warm-air advection under high pressure, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological service guidance expected before market resolution will clarify whether marginal cooling or additional warming tips the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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