Forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high-pressure system dominating the eastern Mediterranean, promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light northerly winds that limit cooling for Tel Aviv on August 6. This setup supports daytime maxima near 32°C, consistent with seasonal climatology of 30–33°C for the coastal plain, with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection to suppress temperatures. Recent stable conditions and ensemble agreement across global models reinforce trader emphasis on 32°C (59%) over 33°C (29%), though small shifts in steering flow or afternoon sea-breeze strength could nudge outcomes higher. New model runs and observational updates through the evening of August 5 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 6 août ?
32°C 59%
33°C 30%
31°C 8%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
30%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 30%
31°C 8%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
30%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high-pressure system dominating the eastern Mediterranean, promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and light northerly winds that limit cooling for Tel Aviv on August 6. This setup supports daytime maxima near 32°C, consistent with seasonal climatology of 30–33°C for the coastal plain, with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection to suppress temperatures. Recent stable conditions and ensemble agreement across global models reinforce trader emphasis on 32°C (59%) over 33°C (29%), though small shifts in steering flow or afternoon sea-breeze strength could nudge outcomes higher. New model runs and observational updates through the evening of August 5 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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