Current forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv of 31–33°C on August 5 under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions moderated by sea breezes. High-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover support the market's strong preference for 33°C (68.5% implied probability), while slight model variations and coastal cooling effects keep 32°C viable at 21%. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, with no significant recent shifts from heatwave patterns observed earlier in the season altering the consensus. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 5 août ?
33°C 69%
32°C 21%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
$28,504 Vol.
$28,504 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
21%
33°C
69%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 69%
32°C 21%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
$28,504 Vol.
$28,504 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
21%
33°C
69%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv of 31–33°C on August 5 under clear skies and light westerly winds, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions moderated by sea breezes. High-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover support the market's strong preference for 33°C (68.5% implied probability), while slight model variations and coastal cooling effects keep 32°C viable at 21%. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, with no significant recent shifts from heatwave patterns observed earlier in the season altering the consensus. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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