Hong Kong Observatory short-range forecasts and ensemble model guidance for August 8 show daytime maxima clustering between 33–36 °C under weak southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions, with limited diurnal heating expected from high humidity and possible morning showers. Seasonal outlooks already flag normal-to-above-normal August temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and residual ENSO signals, yet the narrow 34–35 °C market split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day convective cooling. Traders weigh the latest HKO 9-day bulletin and global model runs—updated daily—against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 35 °C without strong subsidence or clear skies. Resolution hinges on the official observatory reading at the reference station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 8 août ?
34°C 42%
35°C 35%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
NOUVEAU
$36,040 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$36,040 Vol.
8 août 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
42%
35°C
35%
36°C
14%
37°C
5%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
35°C 35%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
NOUVEAU
$36,040 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$36,040 Vol.
8 août 2026
31°C or below
$1,592 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,960 Vol.
1%
33°C
$5,798 Vol.
10%
34°C
$4,723 Vol.
42%
35°C
$5,104 Vol.
35%
36°C
$3,889 Vol.
14%
37°C
$6,567 Vol.
5%
38°C
$2,029 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,653 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$962 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$762 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory short-range forecasts and ensemble model guidance for August 8 show daytime maxima clustering between 33–36 °C under weak southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions, with limited diurnal heating expected from high humidity and possible morning showers. Seasonal outlooks already flag normal-to-above-normal August temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and residual ENSO signals, yet the narrow 34–35 °C market split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day convective cooling. Traders weigh the latest HKO 9-day bulletin and global model runs—updated daily—against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 35 °C without strong subsidence or clear skies. Resolution hinges on the official observatory reading at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$36,040Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory short-range forecasts and ensemble model guidance for August 8 show daytime maxima clustering between 33–36 °C under weak southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions, with limited diurnal heating expected from high humidity and possible morning showers. Seasonal outlooks already flag normal-to-above-normal August temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and residual ENSO signals, yet the narrow 34–35 °C market split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day convective cooling. Traders weigh the latest HKO 9-day bulletin and global model runs—updated daily—against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 35 °C without strong subsidence or clear skies. Resolution hinges on the official observatory reading at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,040Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory short-range forecasts and ensemble model guidance for August 8 show daytime maxima clustering between 33–36 °C under weak southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions, with limited diurnal heating expected from high humidity and possible morning showers. Seasonal outlooks already flag normal-to-above-normal August temperatures linked to long-term warming trends and residual ENSO signals, yet the narrow 34–35 °C market split reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat-island amplification, and any late-day convective cooling. Traders weigh the latest HKO 9-day bulletin and global model runs—updated daily—against historical August extremes rarely exceeding 35 °C without strong subsidence or clear skies. Resolution hinges on the official observatory reading at the reference station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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