Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and numerical weather models show a primary driver of trader positioning around 35–36°C for August 9, reflecting typical August subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate daytime heating. Light winds, high solar insolation, and urban heat island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island support peaks in the mid-30s, while any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or scattered thunderstorms could cap readings near 34–35°C. Historical climatology places average August maxima near 31°C, yet recent similar markets have resolved 2–3°C higher under comparable patterns. Updated HKO daily forecasts and ensemble runs through August 8 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 9 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 9 août ?
36°C 35%
35°C 34%
37°C 18%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
34%
36°C
35%
37°C
18%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 35%
35°C 34%
37°C 18%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 août 2026
31°C or below
$457 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,467 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$661 Vol.
3%
34°C
$926 Vol.
12%
35°C
$895 Vol.
34%
36°C
$923 Vol.
35%
37°C
$710 Vol.
18%
38°C
$1,045 Vol.
5%
39°C
$5 Vol.
1%
40°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$390 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and numerical weather models show a primary driver of trader positioning around 35–36°C for August 9, reflecting typical August subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate daytime heating. Light winds, high solar insolation, and urban heat island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island support peaks in the mid-30s, while any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or scattered thunderstorms could cap readings near 34–35°C. Historical climatology places average August maxima near 31°C, yet recent similar markets have resolved 2–3°C higher under comparable patterns. Updated HKO daily forecasts and ensemble runs through August 8 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,569Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and numerical weather models show a primary driver of trader positioning around 35–36°C for August 9, reflecting typical August subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate daytime heating. Light winds, high solar insolation, and urban heat island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island support peaks in the mid-30s, while any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or scattered thunderstorms could cap readings near 34–35°C. Historical climatology places average August maxima near 31°C, yet recent similar markets have resolved 2–3°C higher under comparable patterns. Updated HKO daily forecasts and ensemble runs through August 8 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,569Date de fin
9 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and numerical weather models show a primary driver of trader positioning around 35–36°C for August 9, reflecting typical August subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate daytime heating. Light winds, high solar insolation, and urban heat island effects in Kowloon and Hong Kong Island support peaks in the mid-30s, while any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or scattered thunderstorms could cap readings near 34–35°C. Historical climatology places average August maxima near 31°C, yet recent similar markets have resolved 2–3°C higher under comparable patterns. Updated HKO daily forecasts and ensemble runs through August 8 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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