Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for Paris on August 10 shows maximum temperatures centered in the low-30s Celsius under mostly sunny high-pressure conditions, with modest spread arising from variable afternoon cloud development and light northerly flow. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities reflects this typical short-range uncertainty in peak readings, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or urban heat-island amplification can alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in the region average near 26°C, so current guidance indicates above-normal warmth but well below heatwave thresholds. Updated model runs and official bulletins through August 9 will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 10 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 10 août ?
32°C 36%
33°C 31%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
30°C or below
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
36%
33°C
31%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
33°C 31%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
30°C or below
$37 Vol.
4%
31°C
$25 Vol.
15%
32°C
$6 Vol.
36%
33°C
$6 Vol.
31%
34°C
$0 Vol.
12%
35°C
$31 Vol.
7%
36°C
$10 Vol.
3%
37°C
$5 Vol.
1%
38°C
$5 Vol.
1%
39°C
$12 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for Paris on August 10 shows maximum temperatures centered in the low-30s Celsius under mostly sunny high-pressure conditions, with modest spread arising from variable afternoon cloud development and light northerly flow. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities reflects this typical short-range uncertainty in peak readings, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or urban heat-island amplification can alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in the region average near 26°C, so current guidance indicates above-normal warmth but well below heatwave thresholds. Updated model runs and official bulletins through August 9 will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Volume
$149Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for Paris on August 10 shows maximum temperatures centered in the low-30s Celsius under mostly sunny high-pressure conditions, with modest spread arising from variable afternoon cloud development and light northerly flow. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities reflects this typical short-range uncertainty in peak readings, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or urban heat-island amplification can alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in the region average near 26°C, so current guidance indicates above-normal warmth but well below heatwave thresholds. Updated model runs and official bulletins through August 9 will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$149Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance for Paris on August 10 shows maximum temperatures centered in the low-30s Celsius under mostly sunny high-pressure conditions, with modest spread arising from variable afternoon cloud development and light northerly flow. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities reflects this typical short-range uncertainty in peak readings, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or urban heat-island amplification can alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in the region average near 26°C, so current guidance indicates above-normal warmth but well below heatwave thresholds. Updated model runs and official bulletins through August 9 will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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