Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources project sunny conditions and peak temperatures of 29–31°C for Istanbul on August 10, consistent with typical August highs under stable high-pressure systems. Trader consensus favoring 28°C as the implied mode reflects expectations of localized cooling from Bosphorus sea breezes and afternoon marine layer influences, which can suppress central station readings by 1–3°C relative to broader model outputs. Humidity levels near 70% and urban heat dynamics add variability to maximum observations, while resolution depends on official station data rather than regional averages. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and any cloud development that could further moderate peaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 10 août ?
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
29°C 20%
31°C 6%
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
32%
28°C
45%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C ou plus
2%
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
29°C 20%
31°C 6%
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
32%
28°C
45%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources project sunny conditions and peak temperatures of 29–31°C for Istanbul on August 10, consistent with typical August highs under stable high-pressure systems. Trader consensus favoring 28°C as the implied mode reflects expectations of localized cooling from Bosphorus sea breezes and afternoon marine layer influences, which can suppress central station readings by 1–3°C relative to broader model outputs. Humidity levels near 70% and urban heat dynamics add variability to maximum observations, while resolution depends on official station data rather than regional averages. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and any cloud development that could further moderate peaks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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