Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Tel Aviv highs of 32–34°C on August 10 under persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and clear skies typical of the region's Mediterranean summer. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes at 33–35°C, consistent with climatological averages near 31–32°C and limited heat advection from inland deserts. Minor model spreads arise from sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities concentrated around the central range while allowing for modest upward revisions if subsidence strengthens. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 10 août ?
34°C 49%
35°C 27%
33°C 18%
37°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
49%
35°C
27%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 49%
35°C 27%
33°C 18%
37°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
49%
35°C
27%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Tel Aviv highs of 32–34°C on August 10 under persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and clear skies typical of the region's Mediterranean summer. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes at 33–35°C, consistent with climatological averages near 31–32°C and limited heat advection from inland deserts. Minor model spreads arise from sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities concentrated around the central range while allowing for modest upward revisions if subsidence strengthens. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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