Current meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 10, 2026, from sources including AccuWeather and European models show a consensus high near 25°C under typical early-August conditions, with partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 24°C and 25°C outcomes, as traders incorporate ensemble model runs and historical August averages of 22–23°C highs. No significant heat advection or blocking patterns appear in recent analyses, keeping probabilities for extremes below 1% and reinforcing the narrow 23–26°C range based on observed stability in regional pressure systems. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 10 août ?
24°C 44%
25°C 31%
23°C 20%
26°C 6%
20°C ou moins
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
44%
25°C
31%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 31%
23°C 20%
26°C 6%
20°C ou moins
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
44%
25°C
31%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Moscow on August 10, 2026, from sources including AccuWeather and European models show a consensus high near 25°C under typical early-August conditions, with partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 24°C and 25°C outcomes, as traders incorporate ensemble model runs and historical August averages of 22–23°C highs. No significant heat advection or blocking patterns appear in recent analyses, keeping probabilities for extremes below 1% and reinforcing the narrow 23–26°C range based on observed stability in regional pressure systems. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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