Official short-range forecasts from New Zealand meteorological sources indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 10, 2026, supporting the market's narrow lead for that outcome over 13°C. Mid-winter climatology shows typical August highs of 12–14°C under variable westerly or southerly flows, with recent model runs reflecting modest warming from a passing high-pressure system before cooler air returns. Uncertainty between adjacent bins stems from minor differences in predicted wind strength, cloud cover, and exact timing of frontal passages, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. NIWA guidance notes near-average temperatures for the region overall, consistent with historical August baselines, while traders weigh these factors against potential model revisions ahead of the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 10 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 10 août ?
14°C 46%
13°C 38%
15°C 15%
12°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
38%
14°C
46%
15°C
15%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 46%
13°C 38%
15°C 15%
12°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
7°C or below
$362 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$163 Vol.
1%
12°C
$382 Vol.
3%
13°C
$1,369 Vol.
38%
14°C
$777 Vol.
46%
15°C
$957 Vol.
15%
16°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$161 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official short-range forecasts from New Zealand meteorological sources indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 10, 2026, supporting the market's narrow lead for that outcome over 13°C. Mid-winter climatology shows typical August highs of 12–14°C under variable westerly or southerly flows, with recent model runs reflecting modest warming from a passing high-pressure system before cooler air returns. Uncertainty between adjacent bins stems from minor differences in predicted wind strength, cloud cover, and exact timing of frontal passages, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. NIWA guidance notes near-average temperatures for the region overall, consistent with historical August baselines, while traders weigh these factors against potential model revisions ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,348Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official short-range forecasts from New Zealand meteorological sources indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 10, 2026, supporting the market's narrow lead for that outcome over 13°C. Mid-winter climatology shows typical August highs of 12–14°C under variable westerly or southerly flows, with recent model runs reflecting modest warming from a passing high-pressure system before cooler air returns. Uncertainty between adjacent bins stems from minor differences in predicted wind strength, cloud cover, and exact timing of frontal passages, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. NIWA guidance notes near-average temperatures for the region overall, consistent with historical August baselines, while traders weigh these factors against potential model revisions ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,348Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official short-range forecasts from New Zealand meteorological sources indicate a daytime maximum near 14°C for Wellington on August 10, 2026, supporting the market's narrow lead for that outcome over 13°C. Mid-winter climatology shows typical August highs of 12–14°C under variable westerly or southerly flows, with recent model runs reflecting modest warming from a passing high-pressure system before cooler air returns. Uncertainty between adjacent bins stems from minor differences in predicted wind strength, cloud cover, and exact timing of frontal passages, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. NIWA guidance notes near-average temperatures for the region overall, consistent with historical August baselines, while traders weigh these factors against potential model revisions ahead of the date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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