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Politique·Afrique

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle nigériane

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle nigériane
Politique·Afrique

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle nigériane

Bola Tinubu 71%

Peter Obi 24%

Rabiu Kwankwaso 5.0%

Rotimi Amaechi 3.4%

Polymarket

$31,491 Vol.

Bola Tinubu 71%

Peter Obi 24%

Rabiu Kwankwaso 5.0%

Rotimi Amaechi 3.4%

Polymarket

$31,491 Vol.

icon for Bola Tinubu

Bola Tinubu

$15,627 Vol.

71%

icon for Peter Obi

Peter Obi

$6,434 Vol.

24%

icon for Rabiu Kwankwaso

Rabiu Kwankwaso

$2,420 Vol.

5%

icon for Rotimi Amaechi

Rotimi Amaechi

$3,029 Vol.

3%

icon for Omoyele Sowore

Omoyele Sowore

$3,992 Vol.

2%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu's position as the ruling APC candidate, secured through an overwhelming party primary victory in May 2026, anchors trader consensus around his re-election prospects for the January 2027 vote. Incumbency advantages, including control of federal resources and party machinery, have bolstered his standing amid ongoing economic reforms such as subsidy removals. Opposition efforts to form a unified front collapsed earlier in 2026 when key figures including Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso withdrew from the African Democratic Congress coalition over internal disputes, fragmenting potential challengers across parties like the NDC. This disarray, combined with regional zoning dynamics and voter turnout patterns from 2023, has kept lower-probability contenders such as Rotimi Amaechi and others well behind in implied market pricing.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volume
$31,491
Date de fin
16 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu's position as the ruling APC candidate, secured through an overwhelming party primary victory in May 2026, anchors trader consensus around his re-election prospects for the January 2027 vote. Incumbency advantages, including control of federal resources and party machinery, have bolstered his standing amid ongoing economic reforms such as subsidy removals. Opposition efforts to form a unified front collapsed earlier in 2026 when key figures including Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso withdrew from the African Democratic Congress coalition over internal disputes, fragmenting potential challengers across parties like the NDC. This disarray, combined with regional zoning dynamics and voter turnout patterns from 2023, has kept lower-probability contenders such as Rotimi Amaechi and others well behind in implied market pricing.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volume
$31,491
Date de fin
16 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle nigériane » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Bola Tinubu » à 71%, suivi de « Peter Obi » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 71¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle nigériane » a généré $31.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 16, 2027. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle nigériane », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle nigériane » est « Bola Tinubu » à 71%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Peter Obi » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle nigériane » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.