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icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place
Monde·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place

icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place
Monde·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place

Renan Santos 59%

Ronaldo Caiado 34%

Romeu Zema 5.1%

Flávio Bolsonaro 2.9%

Polymarket

$537,997 Vol.

Renan Santos 59%

Ronaldo Caiado 34%

Romeu Zema 5.1%

Flávio Bolsonaro 2.9%

Polymarket

$537,997 Vol.

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$180,137 Vol.

59%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$50,699 Vol.

34%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$22,235 Vol.

5%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$24,657 Vol.

3%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$11,283 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$45,458 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$103,532 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$10,116 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$20,676 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$8,747 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$7,754 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$12,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader pricing for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent August polls from Quaest, PoderData, and others show him capturing 2–5% nationally, outpacing other non-Bolsonaro right-wing options by drawing younger, anti-establishment voters through social media and a platform positioned to the right of Flávio Bolsonaro while rejecting the former president’s movement. Ronaldo Caiado’s 33.5% reflects his established profile as former Goiás governor and PSD nominee, plus recent registration and public-security proposals, yet lower single-digit polling keeps him behind Santos in the fragmented conservative lane. Romeu Zema and smaller names trail as Lula maintains a first-round lead near 38–42% and Flávio Bolsonaro consolidates most right-wing support, leaving limited room for additional contenders to reach the top three.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$537,997
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader pricing for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent August polls from Quaest, PoderData, and others show him capturing 2–5% nationally, outpacing other non-Bolsonaro right-wing options by drawing younger, anti-establishment voters through social media and a platform positioned to the right of Flávio Bolsonaro while rejecting the former president’s movement. Ronaldo Caiado’s 33.5% reflects his established profile as former Goiás governor and PSD nominee, plus recent registration and public-security proposals, yet lower single-digit polling keeps him behind Santos in the fragmented conservative lane. Romeu Zema and smaller names trail as Lula maintains a first-round lead near 38–42% and Flávio Bolsonaro consolidates most right-wing support, leaving limited room for additional contenders to reach the top three.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$537,997
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Connexes

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro terminera-t-il à la deuxième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

Flávio Bolsonaro terminera-t-il à la deuxième place au premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

83%
Oui
icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva remportera-t-il l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva remportera-t-il l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

64%
Oui
icon for Un candidat à la présidence gagnera-t-il dès le premier tour de l'élection au Brésil ?

Un candidat à la présidence gagnera-t-il dès le premier tour de l'élection au Brésil ?

13%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Renan Santos » à 59%, suivi de « Ronaldo Caiado » à 34%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 59¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » a généré $538K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 11, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » est « Renan Santos » à 59%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ronaldo Caiado » à 34%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 3e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.