Recent polls, including a Datafolha survey released August 13 showing Ciro Gomes (PSDB) at 52% and incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33% in a first-round scenario, alongside similar AtlasIntel findings, have reinforced trader consensus around Ciro's lead. The first debate on August 9 between the two frontrunners highlighted differences on public security and state governance, with Ciro drawing on his prior term as governor and broader name recognition. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support in surveys, limiting their market share. These polling trends and the October 4, 2026 first-round timeline continue to shape implied probabilities, though late campaign shifts remain possible.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCeará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 70%
Elmano de Freitas 31%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$135,387 Vol.
$135,387 Vol.

Ciro Gomes
70%

Elmano de Freitas
31%

Eduardo Girão
1%

Roberto Cláudio
<1%

Camilo Santana
<1%

Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 70%
Elmano de Freitas 31%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$135,387 Vol.
$135,387 Vol.

Ciro Gomes
70%

Elmano de Freitas
31%

Eduardo Girão
1%

Roberto Cláudio
<1%

Camilo Santana
<1%

Capitão Wagner
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including a Datafolha survey released August 13 showing Ciro Gomes (PSDB) at 52% and incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33% in a first-round scenario, alongside similar AtlasIntel findings, have reinforced trader consensus around Ciro's lead. The first debate on August 9 between the two frontrunners highlighted differences on public security and state governance, with Ciro drawing on his prior term as governor and broader name recognition. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support in surveys, limiting their market share. These polling trends and the October 4, 2026 first-round timeline continue to shape implied probabilities, though late campaign shifts remain possible.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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