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Politique·Moyen-Orient

Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ?

icon for Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ?
Politique·Moyen-Orient

Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ?

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 39%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 4.0%

Polymarket

$9,159,540 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 39%

Gadi Eizenkot 12.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 4.0%

Polymarket

$9,159,540 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$750,603 Vol.

40%

Naftali Bennett

$1,243,170 Vol.

39%

Gadi Eizenkot

$743,542 Vol.

12%

Avigdor Lieberman

$656,325 Vol.

4%

Yair Lapid

$507,271 Vol.

1%

Israël Katz

$157,408 Vol.

1%

Ayelet Shaked

$520,362 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$323,199 Vol.

<1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$332,018 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$348,833 Vol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$606,954 Vol.

<1%

Yariv Levin

$466,827 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$478,259 Vol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$709,102 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$510,920 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$529,293 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$275,456 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's upcoming legislative election, due by late October 2026 under its proportional representation system, centers on coalition-building after votes are tallied. Recent polling shows the new Together alliance formed in late April by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid running close to Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud, while Gadi Eizenkot's party draws notable support as a potential kingmaker. Traders price this outcome tightly because multiple right-wing and centrist blocs remain viable for assembling the 61-seat majority needed to govern, with no single list projected to win outright. Ongoing security challenges and public focus on postwar recovery continue to shape voter priorities without yet producing a clear frontrunner.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,159,540
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's upcoming legislative election, due by late October 2026 under its proportional representation system, centers on coalition-building after votes are tallied. Recent polling shows the new Together alliance formed in late April by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid running close to Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud, while Gadi Eizenkot's party draws notable support as a potential kingmaker. Traders price this outcome tightly because multiple right-wing and centrist blocs remain viable for assembling the 61-seat majority needed to govern, with no single list projected to win outright. Ongoing security challenges and public focus on postwar recovery continue to shape voter priorities without yet producing a clear frontrunner.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,159,540
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Benjamin Netanyahu » à 40%, suivi de « Naftali Bennett » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 40¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » a généré $9.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 15, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » est « Benjamin Netanyahu » à 40%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 40% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Naftali Bennett » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui sera le prochain Premier ministre d'Israël après les prochaines élections ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.