Heightened regional tensions with Iran and Hezbollah-linked threats have kept the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut under close scrutiny, prompting an earlier ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families in February 2026 as a precautionary measure. The embassy has remained operational with core staff since, supported by a Level 4 travel advisory and periodic security alerts citing risks of escalation, airspace disruptions, and potential targeting of U.S. interests. Recent developments include a September 2026 security alert emphasizing vigilance amid Middle East frictions and the delay of U.S.-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks until October, which could influence diplomatic postures and proxy dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing military buildups, negotiation timelines, and the potential for rapid shifts from diplomatic or military developments within any specified resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes États-Unis évacuent l'ambassade de Beyrouth d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis évacuent l'ambassade de Beyrouth d'ici... ?
$119,425 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre
7%
$119,425 Vol.
31 décembre
$25,323 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions with Iran and Hezbollah-linked threats have kept the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut under close scrutiny, prompting an earlier ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families in February 2026 as a precautionary measure. The embassy has remained operational with core staff since, supported by a Level 4 travel advisory and periodic security alerts citing risks of escalation, airspace disruptions, and potential targeting of U.S. interests. Recent developments include a September 2026 security alert emphasizing vigilance amid Middle East frictions and the delay of U.S.-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks until October, which could influence diplomatic postures and proxy dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing military buildups, negotiation timelines, and the potential for rapid shifts from diplomatic or military developments within any specified resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$119,425Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions with Iran and Hezbollah-linked threats have kept the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut under close scrutiny, prompting an earlier ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families in February 2026 as a precautionary measure. The embassy has remained operational with core staff since, supported by a Level 4 travel advisory and periodic security alerts citing risks of escalation, airspace disruptions, and potential targeting of U.S. interests. Recent developments include a September 2026 security alert emphasizing vigilance amid Middle East frictions and the delay of U.S.-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks until October, which could influence diplomatic postures and proxy dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing military buildups, negotiation timelines, and the potential for rapid shifts from diplomatic or military developments within any specified resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$119,425Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Heightened regional tensions with Iran and Hezbollah-linked threats have kept the security environment around the U.S. Embassy in Beirut under close scrutiny, prompting an earlier ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families in February 2026 as a precautionary measure. The embassy has remained operational with core staff since, supported by a Level 4 travel advisory and periodic security alerts citing risks of escalation, airspace disruptions, and potential targeting of U.S. interests. Recent developments include a September 2026 security alert emphasizing vigilance amid Middle East frictions and the delay of U.S.-mediated Israel-Lebanon talks until October, which could influence diplomatic postures and proxy dynamics. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing military buildups, negotiation timelines, and the potential for rapid shifts from diplomatic or military developments within any specified resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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