This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's coalition government submitted a Knesset dissolution bill on May 13, 2026, aiming to dictate snap election timing amid ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) parties' revolt over the failure to pass military draft exemptions for yeshiva students. Rabbi Dov Lando, spiritual leader of Degel HaTorah, directed his faction to back dissolution after Prime Minister Netanyahu conceded no legislative majority exists for the exemption law. Opposition leader Yair Lapid urged an immediate vote next week, while the coalition seeks mid-October polls to avoid an August date forced by rivals. The first reading is slated for around May 20, with committee talks to set the election calendar; passage requires three Knesset votes, testing fragile coalition unity amid ongoing procedural jockeying.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Israel's coalition government submitted a Knesset dissolution bill on May 13, 2026, aiming to dictate snap election timing amid ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) parties' revolt over the failure to pass military draft exemptions for yeshiva students. Rabbi Dov Lando, spiritual leader of Degel HaTorah, directed his faction to back dissolution after Prime Minister Netanyahu conceded no legislative majority exists for the exemption law. Opposition leader Yair Lapid urged an immediate vote next week, while the coalition seeks mid-October polls to avoid an August date forced by rivals. The first reading is slated for around May 20, with committee talks to set the election calendar; passage requires three Knesset votes, testing fragile coalition unity amid ongoing procedural jockeying.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
May 13 2026
Lapid’s Yesh Atid files motion to dissolve Knesset for early elections
The formal motion cemented the possibility of a September‑October dissolution, anchoring the
May 12 2026
Coalition lawmakers urge Haredi parties not to topple government over draft‑exemption bill
June 30 jumps to 37%13%
Intense lobbying temporarily steadied the coalition, but the lingering threat kept “Yes” above the low‑point.
May 12 2026
Naftali Bennett rallies, accusing Likud of serving ultra‑Orthodox factions and warning of “draft‑dodger alliance” collapse
Bennett’s rhetoric kept the market focused on the draft issue, maintaining the
May 11 2026
Opposition leader Yair Lapid calls for Knesset dissolution next week
June 30 jumps to 24%10%
Lapid’s public push revived early‑election speculation, lifting the
Apr 29 2026
Moshe Gafni publicly refuses to meet Netanyahu after draft‑law dispute
June 30 plunges to 14%52%
The personal rift suggested a possible coalition collapse, but the subsequent “no‑confidence” motion failed, causing a sharp drop.
Mar 10 2026
Draft‑exemption bill stalls in committee vote, prompting UTJ to threaten withdrawal
June 30 jumps to 66%9%
Stalling heightened the chance of a coalition break‑up, sending “Yes” to its March peak.
Mar 1 2026
Knesset Foreign Affairs & Defense Committee approves extension of reservist call‑up to May 31
June 30 surges to 57%22%
The move was interpreted as a pressure tactic on Haredi parties, reviving dissolution expectations.
Feb 24 2026
Netanyahu announces he will not advance the draft‑exemption bill before the budget deadline
June 30 plunges to 35%21%
Temporarily calming coalition tensions and sharply lowering “Yes” odds.
Feb 20 2026
Joint List parties announce preliminary agreement to run together in 2026 election
June 30 surges to 56%21%
The new Arab alliance was seen as a potential king‑maker, boosting expectations of an early election.
Aggressive advancement of the bill revived fears of a split, pulling the
Feb 11 2026
United Torah Judaism (UTJ) leader Moshe Gafni refuses calls from Netanyahu after draft‑bill clash
June 30 jumps to 41%7%
Gafni’s defiance raised the risk of a collapse, nudging the
Feb 7 2026
Rabbi Dov Lando (Degel HaTorah) publicly backs Knesset dissolution over the draft law
June 30 drops to 34%5%
His endorsement signaled that a key Haredi faction could pull the coalition, further depressing the “Yes”
Feb 4 2026
Shas religious council instructs party to leave coalition over draft‑exemption bill
June 30 plunges to 39%15%
The move threatened the government’s majority, prompting traders to cut “Yes” odds sharply.
Jan 29 2026
Knesset passes 2026 budget first reading 62‑55, averting automatic dissolution
June 30 rises to 54%1%
The coalition secured a slim majority to keep the Knesset alive past the legal deadline, pulling the “Yes” probability up modestly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's coalition government submitted a Knesset dissolution bill on May 13, 2026, aiming to dictate snap election timing amid ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) parties' revolt over the failure to pass military draft exemptions for yeshiva students. Rabbi Dov Lando, spiritual leader of Degel HaTorah, directed his faction to back dissolution after Prime Minister Netanyahu conceded no legislative majority exists for the exemption law. Opposition leader Yair Lapid urged an immediate vote next week, while the coalition seeks mid-October polls to avoid an August date forced by rivals. The first reading is slated for around May 20, with committee talks to set the election calendar; passage requires three Knesset votes, testing fragile coalition unity amid ongoing procedural jockeying.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Israel's coalition government submitted a Knesset dissolution bill on May 13, 2026, aiming to dictate snap election timing amid ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) parties' revolt over the failure to pass military draft exemptions for yeshiva students. Rabbi Dov Lando, spiritual leader of Degel HaTorah, directed his faction to back dissolution after Prime Minister Netanyahu conceded no legislative majority exists for the exemption law. Opposition leader Yair Lapid urged an immediate vote next week, while the coalition seeks mid-October polls to avoid an August date forced by rivals. The first reading is slated for around May 20, with committee talks to set the election calendar; passage requires three Knesset votes, testing fragile coalition unity amid ongoing procedural jockeying.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
May 13 2026
Lapid’s Yesh Atid files motion to dissolve Knesset for early elections
The formal motion cemented the possibility of a September‑October dissolution, anchoring the
May 12 2026
Coalition lawmakers urge Haredi parties not to topple government over draft‑exemption bill
June 30 jumps to 37%13%
Intense lobbying temporarily steadied the coalition, but the lingering threat kept “Yes” above the low‑point.
May 12 2026
Naftali Bennett rallies, accusing Likud of serving ultra‑Orthodox factions and warning of “draft‑dodger alliance” collapse
Bennett’s rhetoric kept the market focused on the draft issue, maintaining the
May 11 2026
Opposition leader Yair Lapid calls for Knesset dissolution next week
June 30 jumps to 24%10%
Lapid’s public push revived early‑election speculation, lifting the
Apr 29 2026
Moshe Gafni publicly refuses to meet Netanyahu after draft‑law dispute
June 30 plunges to 14%52%
The personal rift suggested a possible coalition collapse, but the subsequent “no‑confidence” motion failed, causing a sharp drop.
Mar 10 2026
Draft‑exemption bill stalls in committee vote, prompting UTJ to threaten withdrawal
June 30 jumps to 66%9%
Stalling heightened the chance of a coalition break‑up, sending “Yes” to its March peak.
Mar 1 2026
Knesset Foreign Affairs & Defense Committee approves extension of reservist call‑up to May 31
June 30 surges to 57%22%
The move was interpreted as a pressure tactic on Haredi parties, reviving dissolution expectations.
Feb 24 2026
Netanyahu announces he will not advance the draft‑exemption bill before the budget deadline
June 30 plunges to 35%21%
Temporarily calming coalition tensions and sharply lowering “Yes” odds.
Feb 20 2026
Joint List parties announce preliminary agreement to run together in 2026 election
June 30 surges to 56%21%
The new Arab alliance was seen as a potential king‑maker, boosting expectations of an early election.
Aggressive advancement of the bill revived fears of a split, pulling the
Feb 11 2026
United Torah Judaism (UTJ) leader Moshe Gafni refuses calls from Netanyahu after draft‑bill clash
June 30 jumps to 41%7%
Gafni’s defiance raised the risk of a collapse, nudging the
Feb 7 2026
Rabbi Dov Lando (Degel HaTorah) publicly backs Knesset dissolution over the draft law
June 30 drops to 34%5%
His endorsement signaled that a key Haredi faction could pull the coalition, further depressing the “Yes”
Feb 4 2026
Shas religious council instructs party to leave coalition over draft‑exemption bill
June 30 plunges to 39%15%
The move threatened the government’s majority, prompting traders to cut “Yes” odds sharply.
Jan 29 2026
Knesset passes 2026 budget first reading 62‑55, averting automatic dissolution
June 30 rises to 54%1%
The coalition secured a slim majority to keep the Knesset alive past the legal deadline, pulling the “Yes” probability up modestly.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes
« Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin » à 59%, suivi de « 31 mai » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 59¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.
À ce jour, « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » a généré $992.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Sep 3, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.
Pour trader sur « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.
Le favori actuel pour « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » est « 30 juin » à 59%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mai » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.
Les règles de résolution de « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.
Oui. Vous n'avez pas besoin de trader pour rester informé. Cette page sert de suivi en direct pour « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? ». Les probabilités des résultats sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que de nouvelles transactions arrivent. Vous pouvez ajouter cette page à vos favoris et consulter la section commentaires pour voir ce que disent les autres traders. Vous pouvez également utiliser les filtres de plage temporelle sur le graphique pour voir comment les cotes ont évolué au fil du temps.
Les cotes de Polymarket sont fixées par de vrais traders qui mettent de l'argent réel derrière leurs convictions, ce qui tend à produire des prédictions précises. Avec $992.4K échangés sur « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? », ces prix agrègent les connaissances collectives et la conviction de milliers de participants — surpassant souvent les sondages, les prévisions d’experts et les enquêtes traditionnelles. Les marchés de prédiction comme Polymarket ont un solide historique de précision, surtout à mesure que les événements approchent de leur date de résolution. Par exemple, Polymarket a un score de précision sur un mois de 94%. Pour les dernières statistiques sur la précision des prédictions de Polymarket, visitez la page de précision sur Polymarket.
Pour placer votre première transaction sur « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? », inscrivez-vous pour un compte Polymarket gratuit et approvisionnez-le en utilisant des cryptomonnaies, une carte de crédit ou débit, ou un virement bancaire. Une fois votre compte approvisionné, revenez sur cette page, sélectionnez le résultat sur lequel vous souhaitez trader, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous êtes nouveau dans les marchés de prédiction, cliquez sur le lien « Comment ça marche » en haut de n'importe quelle page Polymarket pour un guide étape par étape.
Sur Polymarket, le prix de chaque résultat représente la probabilité implicite du marché. Un prix de 59¢ pour « 30 juin » sur le marché « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » signifie que les traders estiment collectivement qu'il y a environ une probabilité de 59% que « 30 juin » sera le résultat correct. Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » à 59¢ et que le résultat est correct, vous recevez $1,00 par part — un gain de 41¢ par part. S'il est incorrect, ces parts valent $0.
Le marché « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » est prévu pour être résolu autour du Jun 30, 2026. Cela signifie que le trading restera ouvert et les cotes continueront d'évoluer jusqu'à cette date. Le moment exact de la résolution dépend de la disponibilité du résultat officiel, comme décrit dans la section « Règles ».
Le marché « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » a une communauté active de 27 commentaires où les traders partagent leurs analyses, débattent des résultats et discutent des derniers développements. Faites défiler jusqu'à la section commentaires ci-dessous pour lire ce que pensent les autres participants. Vous pouvez également filtrer par « Principaux détenteurs » ou consulter l'onglet « Activité » pour un flux en temps réel des transactions.
Polymarket est le plus grand marché de prédiction au monde, où vous pouvez rester informé et profiter de vos connaissances sur les événements du monde réel. Les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur des résultats allant de la politique et des élections aux cryptomonnaies, finances, sports, technologie et culture, y compris des marchés comme « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? ». Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel soutenues par une conviction financière, fournissant souvent des signaux plus rapides et plus précis que les sondages, les commentateurs ou les enquêtes traditionnelles.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes