Yemen's Houthis escalated tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since the prior Gaza ceasefire—coordinating with Iran and Hezbollah to target sites like Ben Gurion Airport and southern military areas, though most were intercepted by Israeli air defenses. The Israel Defense Forces recently downed a Houthi drone near Eilat, marking the first such incident since Iran-related ceasefires, amid warnings from Sanaa of broader Red Sea disruptions if U.S.-Israeli actions against Iran resume. Traders weigh Israel's restraint on Yemen strikes to avoid a new front, against historical patterns of retaliation following Houthi barrages, with no confirmed Israeli airstrikes on Yemeni soil in the past month despite over a dozen interceptions. Ongoing diplomatic signals and U.S. strikes on Houthi targets could influence escalation before any resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAction militaire d'Israël contre le Yémen par... ?
Action militaire d'Israël contre le Yémen par... ?
$1,730,125 Vol.
31 mai 2026
31 mai
11%
30 juin
19%
$1,730,125 Vol.
31 mai
$114,293 Vol.
11%
30 juin
$462,821 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthis escalated tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since the prior Gaza ceasefire—coordinating with Iran and Hezbollah to target sites like Ben Gurion Airport and southern military areas, though most were intercepted by Israeli air defenses. The Israel Defense Forces recently downed a Houthi drone near Eilat, marking the first such incident since Iran-related ceasefires, amid warnings from Sanaa of broader Red Sea disruptions if U.S.-Israeli actions against Iran resume. Traders weigh Israel's restraint on Yemen strikes to avoid a new front, against historical patterns of retaliation following Houthi barrages, with no confirmed Israeli airstrikes on Yemeni soil in the past month despite over a dozen interceptions. Ongoing diplomatic signals and U.S. strikes on Houthi targets could influence escalation before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
Volume
$1,730,125Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Houthis escalated tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since the prior Gaza ceasefire—coordinating with Iran and Hezbollah to target sites like Ben Gurion Airport and southern military areas, though most were intercepted by Israeli air defenses. The Israel Defense Forces recently downed a Houthi drone near Eilat, marking the first such incident since Iran-related ceasefires, amid warnings from Sanaa of broader Red Sea disruptions if U.S.-Israeli actions against Iran resume. Traders weigh Israel's restraint on Yemen strikes to avoid a new front, against historical patterns of retaliation following Houthi barrages, with no confirmed Israeli airstrikes on Yemeni soil in the past month despite over a dozen interceptions. Ongoing diplomatic signals and U.S. strikes on Houthi targets could influence escalation before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,730,125Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Houthis escalated tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first direct strikes since the prior Gaza ceasefire—coordinating with Iran and Hezbollah to target sites like Ben Gurion Airport and southern military areas, though most were intercepted by Israeli air defenses. The Israel Defense Forces recently downed a Houthi drone near Eilat, marking the first such incident since Iran-related ceasefires, amid warnings from Sanaa of broader Red Sea disruptions if U.S.-Israeli actions against Iran resume. Traders weigh Israel's restraint on Yemen strikes to avoid a new front, against historical patterns of retaliation following Houthi barrages, with no confirmed Israeli airstrikes on Yemeni soil in the past month despite over a dozen interceptions. Ongoing diplomatic signals and U.S. strikes on Houthi targets could influence escalation before any resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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