Recent polling averages place Likud around 20–23 seats ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 18 to 31 amid high volatility. Traders’ heaviest weighting on the 20–24 band aligns with this pattern, as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party frequently leads or ties Likud, drawing support from security-focused voters disillusioned by the protracted conflicts since 2023. Netanyahu’s coalition bloc hovers near 50–55 seats across most aggregates, short of a majority, while opposition lists remain similarly fragmented and unable to consolidate reliably. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, threshold crossings by smaller right-wing lists, and final voter movement between Likud and allied or rival parties within the right-wing bloc remain the primary variables that could push results toward the 25–29 range or below 20.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour20-24 34%
25-29 25%
<20 21.8%
30-34 11%
$199,470 Vol.
$199,470 Vol.
26 oct. 2026
<20
22%
20-24
34%
25-29
25%
30-34
11%
35+
3%
20-24 34%
25-29 25%
<20 21.8%
30-34 11%
$199,470 Vol.
$199,470 Vol.
26 oct. 2026
<20
$57,706 Vol.
22%
20-24
$24,443 Vol.
34%
25-29
$44,654 Vol.
25%
30-34
$57,200 Vol.
11%
35+
$15,467 Vol.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud around 20–23 seats ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 18 to 31 amid high volatility. Traders’ heaviest weighting on the 20–24 band aligns with this pattern, as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party frequently leads or ties Likud, drawing support from security-focused voters disillusioned by the protracted conflicts since 2023. Netanyahu’s coalition bloc hovers near 50–55 seats across most aggregates, short of a majority, while opposition lists remain similarly fragmented and unable to consolidate reliably. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, threshold crossings by smaller right-wing lists, and final voter movement between Likud and allied or rival parties within the right-wing bloc remain the primary variables that could push results toward the 25–29 range or below 20.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$199,470Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud around 20–23 seats ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 18 to 31 amid high volatility. Traders’ heaviest weighting on the 20–24 band aligns with this pattern, as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party frequently leads or ties Likud, drawing support from security-focused voters disillusioned by the protracted conflicts since 2023. Netanyahu’s coalition bloc hovers near 50–55 seats across most aggregates, short of a majority, while opposition lists remain similarly fragmented and unable to consolidate reliably. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, threshold crossings by smaller right-wing lists, and final voter movement between Likud and allied or rival parties within the right-wing bloc remain the primary variables that could push results toward the 25–29 range or below 20.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$199,470Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Likud around 20–23 seats ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 18 to 31 amid high volatility. Traders’ heaviest weighting on the 20–24 band aligns with this pattern, as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party frequently leads or ties Likud, drawing support from security-focused voters disillusioned by the protracted conflicts since 2023. Netanyahu’s coalition bloc hovers near 50–55 seats across most aggregates, short of a majority, while opposition lists remain similarly fragmented and unable to consolidate reliably. Late-campaign shifts in turnout, threshold crossings by smaller right-wing lists, and final voter movement between Likud and allied or rival parties within the right-wing bloc remain the primary variables that could push results toward the 25–29 range or below 20.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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