Recent polling averages place Likud in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting sustained competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has drawn center-right and former Likud voters while both parties hover near 22-23 seats in multiple surveys. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc trails the 61-seat majority threshold, limiting momentum, and campaign tactics focused on real-time turnout data aim to mobilize supporters amid fragmented opposition. The October 27 election leaves limited time for late shifts, though security developments, turnout differentials, or undecided voters could still alter final seat totals within the 20-29 range that dominates current trader pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour20-24 35%
25-29 28%
<20 16.2%
30-34 14%
$149,183 Vol.
$149,183 Vol.
26 oct. 2026
<20
16%
20-24
35%
25-29
28%
30-34
14%
35+
5%
20-24 35%
25-29 28%
<20 16.2%
30-34 14%
$149,183 Vol.
$149,183 Vol.
26 oct. 2026
<20
$51,590 Vol.
16%
20-24
$20,469 Vol.
35%
25-29
$33,677 Vol.
28%
30-34
$32,053 Vol.
14%
35+
$11,434 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting sustained competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has drawn center-right and former Likud voters while both parties hover near 22-23 seats in multiple surveys. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc trails the 61-seat majority threshold, limiting momentum, and campaign tactics focused on real-time turnout data aim to mobilize supporters amid fragmented opposition. The October 27 election leaves limited time for late shifts, though security developments, turnout differentials, or undecided voters could still alter final seat totals within the 20-29 range that dominates current trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$149,183Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting sustained competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has drawn center-right and former Likud voters while both parties hover near 22-23 seats in multiple surveys. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc trails the 61-seat majority threshold, limiting momentum, and campaign tactics focused on real-time turnout data aim to mobilize supporters amid fragmented opposition. The October 27 election leaves limited time for late shifts, though security developments, turnout differentials, or undecided voters could still alter final seat totals within the 20-29 range that dominates current trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$149,183Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Likud in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting sustained competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, which has drawn center-right and former Likud voters while both parties hover near 22-23 seats in multiple surveys. Netanyahu’s broader coalition bloc trails the 61-seat majority threshold, limiting momentum, and campaign tactics focused on real-time turnout data aim to mobilize supporters amid fragmented opposition. The October 27 election leaves limited time for late shifts, though security developments, turnout differentials, or undecided voters could still alter final seat totals within the 20-29 range that dominates current trader pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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