United Russia maintains its commanding position ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections through control of single-member constituencies, extensive administrative resources, and leadership restructuring that placed Dmitry Medvedev at the head of its federal list. Recent regional votes and polling averages near 40-50 percent reflect the party’s structural advantages, while opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate exclusions, and limited access to media. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to United Russia securing the most seats, consistent with patterns from prior cycles and the mixed electoral system. Shifts could arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict, unexpected leadership changes, or turnout anomalies in occupied territories that alter seat allocation, though these remain low-probability events within the current timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRussie unie (ER) 98.3%
Iabloko <1%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) <1%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) <1%
$3,185,176 Vol.
$3,185,176 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Russie unie (ER)
98%
Iabloko
1%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
1%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL)
<1%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plateforme Civique (GP)
<1%
Russie unie (ER) 98.3%
Iabloko <1%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) <1%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) <1%
$3,185,176 Vol.
$3,185,176 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Russie unie (ER)
$802,796 Vol.
98%
Iabloko
$32,428 Vol.
1%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
$205,939 Vol.
1%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
$163,341 Vol.
1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL)
$138,483 Vol.
<1%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
$736,074 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 Vol.
<1%
Plateforme Civique (GP)
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections through control of single-member constituencies, extensive administrative resources, and leadership restructuring that placed Dmitry Medvedev at the head of its federal list. Recent regional votes and polling averages near 40-50 percent reflect the party’s structural advantages, while opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate exclusions, and limited access to media. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to United Russia securing the most seats, consistent with patterns from prior cycles and the mixed electoral system. Shifts could arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict, unexpected leadership changes, or turnout anomalies in occupied territories that alter seat allocation, though these remain low-probability events within the current timeline.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Marché ouvert : Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,185,176Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections through control of single-member constituencies, extensive administrative resources, and leadership restructuring that placed Dmitry Medvedev at the head of its federal list. Recent regional votes and polling averages near 40-50 percent reflect the party’s structural advantages, while opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate exclusions, and limited access to media. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to United Russia securing the most seats, consistent with patterns from prior cycles and the mixed electoral system. Shifts could arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict, unexpected leadership changes, or turnout anomalies in occupied territories that alter seat allocation, though these remain low-probability events within the current timeline.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,185,176Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections through control of single-member constituencies, extensive administrative resources, and leadership restructuring that placed Dmitry Medvedev at the head of its federal list. Recent regional votes and polling averages near 40-50 percent reflect the party’s structural advantages, while opposition parties face registration hurdles, candidate exclusions, and limited access to media. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to United Russia securing the most seats, consistent with patterns from prior cycles and the mixed electoral system. Shifts could arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict, unexpected leadership changes, or turnout anomalies in occupied territories that alter seat allocation, though these remain low-probability events within the current timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
Le parti Russie unie (ER) obtiendra-t-il le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?
67%
Oui
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