Traders assign a 98.8 percent probability that Donald Trump will remain president through June 30 because constitutional removal procedures cannot realistically conclude in the remaining six weeks. House impeachment requires committee investigations and floor votes, while Senate conviction demands a two-thirds majority that current partisan divisions make unattainable on short notice. Invocation of the 25th Amendment would need cabinet consensus and congressional affirmation, processes that historically span months rather than days. No active proceedings, sudden health announcements, or bipartisan consensus have emerged to accelerate these timelines. Although an unforeseen scandal or resignation could theoretically intervene, such developments lack supporting evidence at present and would still face steep procedural hurdles before altering the outcome.