Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump mentioning Iran (77%), nuclear (77%), and oil/gas/gasoline (76%) during his Bret Baier interview airing tonight at 7 PM ET on Fox News' Special Report, driven by the freshly concluded Trump-Xi summit in Beijing where U.S. tech leaders like Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, and Tim Cook joined discussions on AI supremacy, Nvidia chip sales, and energy deals amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Trump recently told Baier he's optimistic on an Iran memorandum of understanding, boosting those odds alongside chip/ship (68%) and Biden (68%). Lower probabilities like COVID/pandemic (32%) reflect focus on current foreign policy catalysts over domestic staples, with resolution based on official video if aired by May 16.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$1,071 Vol.
COVID / Pandemic
33%
Biden
72%
Obama
46%
Inflation
43%
My Father / Fred
30%
Chip / Ship
66%
Jensen
52%
Child
43%
Moon
30%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
53%
North Korea / Kim Jong Un
37%
Taiwan
37%
JD / Vance
41%
Dumbocrat
29%
Nuclear
78%
Eight Wars / Eighth War
40%
See what happens
47%
Strait / Hormuz
77%
Elon / Jensen / Tim
64%
Iran
82%
Ballroom
30%
Friend
57%
-No Qualifying Event-
2%
$1,071 Vol.
COVID / Pandemic
33%
Biden
72%
Obama
46%
Inflation
43%
My Father / Fred
30%
Chip / Ship
66%
Jensen
52%
Child
43%
Moon
30%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
53%
North Korea / Kim Jong Un
37%
Taiwan
37%
JD / Vance
41%
Dumbocrat
29%
Nuclear
78%
Eight Wars / Eighth War
40%
See what happens
47%
Strait / Hormuz
77%
Elon / Jensen / Tim
64%
Iran
82%
Ballroom
30%
Friend
57%
-No Qualifying Event-
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump mentioning Iran (77%), nuclear (77%), and oil/gas/gasoline (76%) during his Bret Baier interview airing tonight at 7 PM ET on Fox News' Special Report, driven by the freshly concluded Trump-Xi summit in Beijing where U.S. tech leaders like Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, and Tim Cook joined discussions on AI supremacy, Nvidia chip sales, and energy deals amid Strait of Hormuz tensions. Trump recently told Baier he's optimistic on an Iran memorandum of understanding, boosting those odds alongside chip/ship (68%) and Biden (68%). Lower probabilities like COVID/pandemic (32%) reflect focus on current foreign policy catalysts over domestic staples, with resolution based on official video if aired by May 16.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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