Traders are pricing Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity for the May 15–22 window at elevated levels, with the 200+ range carrying the highest implied probability. This reflects his established pattern of frequent platform updates, often exceeding 20 posts on active days amid ongoing policy debates and public statements. The tight clustering around the 160–179 and 180–199 ranges signals uncertainty over any short-term moderation tied to travel, schedule changes, or external events. No major disruptions to his typical posting cadence have emerged in recent days, leaving historical volume trends as the dominant driver of current market consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDonald Trump # Truth Social posts 15 mai - 22 mai 2026 ?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts 15 mai - 22 mai 2026 ?
200+ 55%
160-179 33%
120-139 24%
180-199 19.2%
$18,903 Vol.
$18,903 Vol.
22 mai 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
5%
120-139
19%
140-159
14%
160-179
33%
180-199
27%
200+
43%
200+ 55%
160-179 33%
120-139 24%
180-199 19.2%
$18,903 Vol.
$18,903 Vol.
22 mai 2026
60-79
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$3,298 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$891 Vol.
5%
120-139
$672 Vol.
19%
140-159
$413 Vol.
14%
160-179
$274 Vol.
33%
180-199
$487 Vol.
27%
200+
$677 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity for the May 15–22 window at elevated levels, with the 200+ range carrying the highest implied probability. This reflects his established pattern of frequent platform updates, often exceeding 20 posts on active days amid ongoing policy debates and public statements. The tight clustering around the 160–179 and 180–199 ranges signals uncertainty over any short-term moderation tied to travel, schedule changes, or external events. No major disruptions to his typical posting cadence have emerged in recent days, leaving historical volume trends as the dominant driver of current market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$18,903Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity for the May 15–22 window at elevated levels, with the 200+ range carrying the highest implied probability. This reflects his established pattern of frequent platform updates, often exceeding 20 posts on active days amid ongoing policy debates and public statements. The tight clustering around the 160–179 and 180–199 ranges signals uncertainty over any short-term moderation tied to travel, schedule changes, or external events. No major disruptions to his typical posting cadence have emerged in recent days, leaving historical volume trends as the dominant driver of current market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,903Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing Donald Trump’s Truth Social activity for the May 15–22 window at elevated levels, with the 200+ range carrying the highest implied probability. This reflects his established pattern of frequent platform updates, often exceeding 20 posts on active days amid ongoing policy debates and public statements. The tight clustering around the 160–179 and 180–199 ranges signals uncertainty over any short-term moderation tied to travel, schedule changes, or external events. No major disruptions to his typical posting cadence have emerged in recent days, leaving historical volume trends as the dominant driver of current market consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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