Elon Musk's recent posting pace of roughly 20 tweets per day through mid-May has anchored trader sentiment around the 40-64 bucket for the three-day window starting May 18. Ongoing Tesla product updates, xAI developments, and routine engagement with followers continue to sustain this moderate volume without the spikes seen during major launches or controversies. Historical patterns show his output can dip below 15 per day during intense executive travel or trial-related distractions, keeping the sub-40 range as a live secondary option at 15.5%. With no high-profile events confirmed for the immediate period, markets price in a steady rather than accelerated cadence, reflecting bettors' assessment of his established rhythm amid competing business demands.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 46%
65-89 27%
<40 15%
90-114 9%
$24,403 Vol.
$24,403 Vol.
<40
15%
40-64
46%
65-89
27%
90-114
9%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 46%
65-89 27%
<40 15%
90-114 9%
$24,403 Vol.
$24,403 Vol.
<40
15%
40-64
46%
65-89
27%
90-114
9%
115-139
3%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskElon Musk's recent posting pace of roughly 20 tweets per day through mid-May has anchored trader sentiment around the 40-64 bucket for the three-day window starting May 18. Ongoing Tesla product updates, xAI developments, and routine engagement with followers continue to sustain this moderate volume without the spikes seen during major launches or controversies. Historical patterns show his output can dip below 15 per day during intense executive travel or trial-related distractions, keeping the sub-40 range as a live secondary option at 15.5%. With no high-profile events confirmed for the immediate period, markets price in a steady rather than accelerated cadence, reflecting bettors' assessment of his established rhythm amid competing business demands.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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