Traders are pricing Elon Musk’s X activity for May 16–18, 2026, with the 40–64 tweet range holding a clear 58.5% edge because his recent posting cadence has settled into a steady rhythm of 15–20 posts per day. Fresh updates on Grok model training, SpaceX docking footage, and quick reactions to viral clips have kept the timeline active without the burst of 50-plus daily tweets seen during major product launches or political flashpoints. The 65–89 bucket sits at 36.5% as a realistic upside if weekend engagement spikes, while anything above 115 remains a long shot given the absence of breaking news that historically drives Musk’s highest-volume days. With the three-day window still unfolding, upcoming chart updates and any late-week announcements remain the key swing factors for final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 55%
65-89 39%
90-114 4.0%
Moins de 40 <1%
$510,065 Vol.
$510,065 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Moins de 40
1%
40-64
55%
65-89
39%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 55%
65-89 39%
90-114 4.0%
Moins de 40 <1%
$510,065 Vol.
$510,065 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Moins de 40
$125,394 Vol.
1%
40-64
$44,319 Vol.
55%
65-89
$50,828 Vol.
39%
90-114
$73,809 Vol.
4%
115-139
$49,156 Vol.
1%
140-164
$48,592 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$36,291 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$14,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$16,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing Elon Musk’s X activity for May 16–18, 2026, with the 40–64 tweet range holding a clear 58.5% edge because his recent posting cadence has settled into a steady rhythm of 15–20 posts per day. Fresh updates on Grok model training, SpaceX docking footage, and quick reactions to viral clips have kept the timeline active without the burst of 50-plus daily tweets seen during major product launches or political flashpoints. The 65–89 bucket sits at 36.5% as a realistic upside if weekend engagement spikes, while anything above 115 remains a long shot given the absence of breaking news that historically drives Musk’s highest-volume days. With the three-day window still unfolding, upcoming chart updates and any late-week announcements remain the key swing factors for final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$510,065Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing Elon Musk’s X activity for May 16–18, 2026, with the 40–64 tweet range holding a clear 58.5% edge because his recent posting cadence has settled into a steady rhythm of 15–20 posts per day. Fresh updates on Grok model training, SpaceX docking footage, and quick reactions to viral clips have kept the timeline active without the burst of 50-plus daily tweets seen during major product launches or political flashpoints. The 65–89 bucket sits at 36.5% as a realistic upside if weekend engagement spikes, while anything above 115 remains a long shot given the absence of breaking news that historically drives Musk’s highest-volume days. With the three-day window still unfolding, upcoming chart updates and any late-week announcements remain the key swing factors for final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$510,065Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing Elon Musk’s X activity for May 16–18, 2026, with the 40–64 tweet range holding a clear 58.5% edge because his recent posting cadence has settled into a steady rhythm of 15–20 posts per day. Fresh updates on Grok model training, SpaceX docking footage, and quick reactions to viral clips have kept the timeline active without the burst of 50-plus daily tweets seen during major product launches or political flashpoints. The 65–89 bucket sits at 36.5% as a realistic upside if weekend engagement spikes, while anything above 115 remains a long shot given the absence of breaking news that historically drives Musk’s highest-volume days. With the three-day window still unfolding, upcoming chart updates and any late-week announcements remain the key swing factors for final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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