President Donald Trump has focused recent public statements and Truth Social activity on negotiations over Iran’s 14-point proposal to end ongoing U.S. military actions, describing the terms as unacceptable while leaving open the possibility of resumed strikes. As the week of May 18–24 unfolds, traders assess whether his next posts will address ceasefire developments, Iranian compliance, or related foreign policy updates amid scheduled remarks and press interactions. Historical patterns show Trump frequently comments on active diplomatic or military matters in real time, and any new official announcements or escalations could shift the probability of specific topic outcomes reflected in current market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHarvard
46%
Shenanigan
42%
Treason / Treasonous
44%
Gun
43%
Gene / Genetic
43%
Wall Street
43%
Dad / Daddy
42%
Tina
45%
Scam / Hoax
43%
World Cup
43%
Chair
43%
Cuba
43%
Gold / Golden
43%
Television / TV
43%
Six Seven
34%
Central Casting
43%
Midterm
44%
Restaurant
43%
Crooked
43%
Peanut
37%
Cookie
36%
Fake News
44%
Transgender
44%
IQ
43%
Autopen
43%
Sleepy Joe
43%
New York
47%
Shit / Fuck / Fucked
43%
Critic
44%
Cocaine
44%
Big / Bigger / Biggest
59%
$55 Vol.
Harvard
46%
Shenanigan
42%
Treason / Treasonous
44%
Gun
43%
Gene / Genetic
43%
Wall Street
43%
Dad / Daddy
42%
Tina
45%
Scam / Hoax
43%
World Cup
43%
Chair
43%
Cuba
43%
Gold / Golden
43%
Television / TV
43%
Six Seven
34%
Central Casting
43%
Midterm
44%
Restaurant
43%
Crooked
43%
Peanut
37%
Cookie
36%
Fake News
44%
Transgender
44%
IQ
43%
Autopen
43%
Sleepy Joe
43%
New York
47%
Shit / Fuck / Fucked
43%
Critic
44%
Cocaine
44%
Big / Bigger / Biggest
59%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has focused recent public statements and Truth Social activity on negotiations over Iran’s 14-point proposal to end ongoing U.S. military actions, describing the terms as unacceptable while leaving open the possibility of resumed strikes. As the week of May 18–24 unfolds, traders assess whether his next posts will address ceasefire developments, Iranian compliance, or related foreign policy updates amid scheduled remarks and press interactions. Historical patterns show Trump frequently comments on active diplomatic or military matters in real time, and any new official announcements or escalations could shift the probability of specific topic outcomes reflected in current market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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