President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes bilateral summit with Xi Jinping has anchored trader consensus at 96.5% for no public insult this week, reflecting his recent praise of Xi as a "great gentleman," "intelligent man," and leader with whom he maintains a "great relationship" despite policy frictions on trade, Taiwan, and the Iran conflict. Amid red-carpet diplomacy—including planned tête-à-têtes on AI, fentanyl, and Strait of Hormuz access—no insults have materialized, aligning with historical patterns of personal rapport during summits. Realistic shifts could arise from summit breakdowns, leaked concessions, or post-meeting Truth Social posts amid escalation signals, though traders price such risks as minimal given the ongoing de-escalation focus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump va-t-il insulter Xi cette semaine ?
Trump va-t-il insulter Xi cette semaine ?
Oui
$60,972 Vol.
$60,972 Vol.
Oui
$60,972 Vol.
$60,972 Vol.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes bilateral summit with Xi Jinping has anchored trader consensus at 96.5% for no public insult this week, reflecting his recent praise of Xi as a "great gentleman," "intelligent man," and leader with whom he maintains a "great relationship" despite policy frictions on trade, Taiwan, and the Iran conflict. Amid red-carpet diplomacy—including planned tête-à-têtes on AI, fentanyl, and Strait of Hormuz access—no insults have materialized, aligning with historical patterns of personal rapport during summits. Realistic shifts could arise from summit breakdowns, leaked concessions, or post-meeting Truth Social posts amid escalation signals, though traders price such risks as minimal given the ongoing de-escalation focus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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