Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour100-119 49.5%
120-139 25.4%
80-99 13.7%
140-159 7.2%
$7,441,361 Vol.
$7,441,361 Vol.
15 mai 2026
80-99
14%
100-119
50%
120-139
25%
140-159
7%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
100-119 49.5%
120-139 25.4%
80-99 13.7%
140-159 7.2%
$7,441,361 Vol.
$7,441,361 Vol.
15 mai 2026
80-99
$995,174 Vol.
14%
100-119
$356,856 Vol.
50%
120-139
$365,932 Vol.
25%
140-159
$298,534 Vol.
7%
160-179
$274,055 Vol.
2%
180-199
$237,144 Vol.
1%
200-219
$266,128 Vol.
<1%
220-239
$221,831 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$330,250 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$255,455 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$204,633 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$206,664 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$192,775 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$63,239 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$68,264 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$62,389 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$58,683 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$118,926 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$91,560 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$117,006 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$86,800 Vol.
<1%
500+
$183,686 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,441,361Date de fin
15 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,441,361Date de fin
15 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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