Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,016,811 Vol.
$2,016,811 Vol.
16 mai 2026
<40
Non
40-64
Non
65-89
Oui
90-114
No
115-139
Non
140-164
Non
165-189
Non
190-214
Non
215-239
Non
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,016,811 Vol.
$2,016,811 Vol.
16 mai 2026
<40
$211,695 Vol.
Non
40-64
$325,845 Vol.
Non
65-89
$279,228 Vol.
Oui
90-114
$412,743 Vol.
No
115-139
$304,652 Vol.
Non
140-164
$223,875 Vol.
Non
165-189
$81,234 Vol.
Non
190-214
$97,631 Vol.
Non
215-239
$34,198 Vol.
Non
240+
$45,709 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$2,016,811Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,016,811Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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