Recent polling for Malta’s May 30 snap parliamentary election shows the incumbent Labour Party holding a projected lead of roughly 9–12 points over the Nationalist Party, narrower than the double-digit vote margins Labour secured in 2013, 2017, and 2022. Prime Minister Robert Abela called the early vote citing geopolitical instability and the need for a fresh mandate to pursue the “Int Malta” platform and Vision Malta 2050 priorities. Campaign activity has centered on candidate approvals, including a record number of women and first-time contenders, while opposition efforts focus on narrowing the gap in key districts. These developments have aligned trader consensus around a 5–10% Labour victory as the most probable outcome, with lower odds assigned to both tighter and wider margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLabour Party 5-10% 47%
Labour Party <5% 22%
Labour Party 10-15% 19%
Other 7.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 mai 2026
Labour Party 25%+
<1%
Labour Party 20-25%
2%
Labour Party 15-20%
5%
Labour Party 10-15%
19%
Labour Party 5-10%
47%
Labour Party <5%
22%
Other
7%
Labour Party 5-10% 47%
Labour Party <5% 22%
Labour Party 10-15% 19%
Other 7.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 mai 2026
Labour Party 25%+
$411 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party 20-25%
$767 Vol.
2%
Labour Party 15-20%
$498 Vol.
5%
Labour Party 10-15%
$495 Vol.
19%
Labour Party 5-10%
$1,402 Vol.
47%
Labour Party <5%
$685 Vol.
22%
Other
$616 Vol.
7%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Recent polling for Malta’s May 30 snap parliamentary election shows the incumbent Labour Party holding a projected lead of roughly 9–12 points over the Nationalist Party, narrower than the double-digit vote margins Labour secured in 2013, 2017, and 2022. Prime Minister Robert Abela called the early vote citing geopolitical instability and the need for a fresh mandate to pursue the “Int Malta” platform and Vision Malta 2050 priorities. Campaign activity has centered on candidate approvals, including a record number of women and first-time contenders, while opposition efforts focus on narrowing the gap in key districts. These developments have aligned trader consensus around a 5–10% Labour victory as the most probable outcome, with lower odds assigned to both tighter and wider margins.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volume
$4,875Date de fin
30 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Recent polling for Malta’s May 30 snap parliamentary election shows the incumbent Labour Party holding a projected lead of roughly 9–12 points over the Nationalist Party, narrower than the double-digit vote margins Labour secured in 2013, 2017, and 2022. Prime Minister Robert Abela called the early vote citing geopolitical instability and the need for a fresh mandate to pursue the “Int Malta” platform and Vision Malta 2050 priorities. Campaign activity has centered on candidate approvals, including a record number of women and first-time contenders, while opposition efforts focus on narrowing the gap in key districts. These developments have aligned trader consensus around a 5–10% Labour victory as the most probable outcome, with lower odds assigned to both tighter and wider margins.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Volume
$4,875Date de fin
30 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Malta’s May 30 snap parliamentary election shows the incumbent Labour Party holding a projected lead of roughly 9–12 points over the Nationalist Party, narrower than the double-digit vote margins Labour secured in 2013, 2017, and 2022. Prime Minister Robert Abela called the early vote citing geopolitical instability and the need for a fresh mandate to pursue the “Int Malta” platform and Vision Malta 2050 priorities. Campaign activity has centered on candidate approvals, including a record number of women and first-time contenders, while opposition efforts focus on narrowing the gap in key districts. These developments have aligned trader consensus around a 5–10% Labour victory as the most probable outcome, with lower odds assigned to both tighter and wider margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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