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Élections·Espagne

Président de l'Andalousie après l'élection ?

icon for Président de l'Andalousie après l'élection ?
Élections·Espagne

Président de l'Andalousie après l'élection ?

Juanma Moreno 98.6%

María Jesús Montero 1.1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket

$161,671 Vol.

Juanma Moreno 98.6%

María Jesús Montero 1.1%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Manuel Gavira <1%

Polymarket

$161,671 Vol.

icon for Juanma Moreno

Juanma Moreno

$10,833 Vol.

99%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$6,809 Vol.

1%

icon for Manuel Gavira

Manuel Gavira

$4,973 Vol.

<1%

icon for Antonio Maíllo

Antonio Maíllo

$135,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Ignacio García

José Ignacio García

$3,728 Vol.

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the People’s Party holds a commanding lead in the Andalusian regional election scheduled for May 17, 2026, reflecting sustained voter support for his moderate governance record and the party’s projected absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament. Recent polling aggregates show the PP capturing 42-45 percent of the vote, positioning it well ahead of the PSOE under María Jesús Montero and smaller parties including Vox. This consensus aligns with the region’s shift toward center-right leadership since 2019 and limited momentum for opposition challengers amid national political pressures. Late developments such as shifts in turnout, regional economic signals, or unexpected coalition dynamics could still influence final seat distribution and the subsequent selection of the regional president.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$161,671
Date de fin
17 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the People’s Party holds a commanding lead in the Andalusian regional election scheduled for May 17, 2026, reflecting sustained voter support for his moderate governance record and the party’s projected absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament. Recent polling aggregates show the PP capturing 42-45 percent of the vote, positioning it well ahead of the PSOE under María Jesús Montero and smaller parties including Vox. This consensus aligns with the region’s shift toward center-right leadership since 2019 and limited momentum for opposition challengers amid national political pressures. Late developments such as shifts in turnout, regional economic signals, or unexpected coalition dynamics could still influence final seat distribution and the subsequent selection of the regional president.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$161,671
Date de fin
17 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Président de l'Andalousie après l'élection ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Juanma Moreno » à 99%, suivi de « María Jesús Montero » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Président de l'Andalousie après l'élection ? » a généré $161.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 16, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Président de l'Andalousie après l'élection ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Président de l'Andalousie après l'élection ? » est « Juanma Moreno » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « María Jesús Montero » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Président de l'Andalousie après l'élection ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.