President Donald Trump’s endorsement has positioned Rep. Julia Letlow as the clear frontrunner in the Louisiana Republican Senate primary, where traders assign her an implied probability near 80 percent. Letlow has leveraged that backing, superior fundraising, and consistent polling leads among likely GOP voters to pull ahead of state Treasurer John Fleming, who remains a distant second while self-funding his campaign and claiming the strongest MAGA credentials. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy trails far behind after his 2021 impeachment vote and past criticism of administration priorities, with remaining candidates registering negligible support. The May 16 primary is expected to produce a June 27 runoff between the top two finishers, keeping the outcome sensitive to final turnout and late shifts among Trump-aligned voters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJulia Letlow 80%
John Fleming 18.9%
Bill Cassidy 1.7%
Julie Emerson <1%
$291,797 Vol.
$291,797 Vol.
Julia Letlow
80%
John Fleming
19%
Bill Cassidy
2%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel « Sammy » Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Julia Letlow 80%
John Fleming 18.9%
Bill Cassidy 1.7%
Julie Emerson <1%
$291,797 Vol.
$291,797 Vol.
Julia Letlow
80%
John Fleming
19%
Bill Cassidy
2%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel « Sammy » Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...President Donald Trump’s endorsement has positioned Rep. Julia Letlow as the clear frontrunner in the Louisiana Republican Senate primary, where traders assign her an implied probability near 80 percent. Letlow has leveraged that backing, superior fundraising, and consistent polling leads among likely GOP voters to pull ahead of state Treasurer John Fleming, who remains a distant second while self-funding his campaign and claiming the strongest MAGA credentials. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy trails far behind after his 2021 impeachment vote and past criticism of administration priorities, with remaining candidates registering negligible support. The May 16 primary is expected to produce a June 27 runoff between the top two finishers, keeping the outcome sensitive to final turnout and late shifts among Trump-aligned voters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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