Recent polling trends ahead of Sweden's September 2026 Riksdag election have positioned Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson as the consensus favorite to become the next prime minister. Multiple surveys from April and early May show her party holding a steady lead over the Moderates, reflecting voter support for the left bloc and creating a clear path to government formation. Ulf Kristersson's standing incorporates the current administration's efforts to build a broader majority coalition, including recent agreements expanding cooperation with the Sweden Democrats. Other candidates remain low-probability outcomes given limited polling visibility and structural barriers within their respective parties. Trader pricing aligns with these electoral dynamics while accounting for the inherent uncertainty of campaigns still months from conclusion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourProchain Premier ministre de Suède
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 30%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.8%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,953,321 Vol.
$1,953,321 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
30%

Jimmie Åkesson
3%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 30%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.8%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,953,321 Vol.
$1,953,321 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
30%

Jimmie Åkesson
3%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling trends ahead of Sweden's September 2026 Riksdag election have positioned Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson as the consensus favorite to become the next prime minister. Multiple surveys from April and early May show her party holding a steady lead over the Moderates, reflecting voter support for the left bloc and creating a clear path to government formation. Ulf Kristersson's standing incorporates the current administration's efforts to build a broader majority coalition, including recent agreements expanding cooperation with the Sweden Democrats. Other candidates remain low-probability outcomes given limited polling visibility and structural barriers within their respective parties. Trader pricing aligns with these electoral dynamics while accounting for the inherent uncertainty of campaigns still months from conclusion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes