Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows the center-left bloc anchored by Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead over the incumbent Tidö coalition, driving trader consensus toward her return as prime minister. The opposition’s advantage stems from sustained voter support on economic and security issues, while Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s government faces headwinds from its dependence on Sweden Democrats backing and coalition tensions that have prompted some centrist parties to signal openness to alternative arrangements. With the election weeks away, these trends have kept Andersson probabilities elevated near 88 percent and limited viable alternatives to low single digits.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourProchain Premier ministre de Suède
Magdalena Andersson 89%
Ulf Kristersson 10%
Ebba Busch <1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist <1%
$3,825,380 Vol.
$3,825,380 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
89%

Ulf Kristersson
10%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Jimmie Åkesson
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 89%
Ulf Kristersson 10%
Ebba Busch <1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist <1%
$3,825,380 Vol.
$3,825,380 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
89%

Ulf Kristersson
10%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Jimmie Åkesson
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election shows the center-left bloc anchored by Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead over the incumbent Tidö coalition, driving trader consensus toward her return as prime minister. The opposition’s advantage stems from sustained voter support on economic and security issues, while Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s government faces headwinds from its dependence on Sweden Democrats backing and coalition tensions that have prompted some centrist parties to signal openness to alternative arrangements. With the election weeks away, these trends have kept Andersson probabilities elevated near 88 percent and limited viable alternatives to low single digits.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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