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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Pará
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Pará

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Pará
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Pará

Hana Ghassan 57%

Dr. Daniel Santos 42%

Éder Mauro 1.2%

Dirceu Ten Caten <1%

Polymarket

$45,834 Vol.

Hana Ghassan 57%

Dr. Daniel Santos 42%

Éder Mauro 1.2%

Dirceu Ten Caten <1%

Polymarket

$45,834 Vol.

icon for Hana Ghassan

Hana Ghassan

$17,038 Vol.

57%

icon for Dr. Daniel Santos

Dr. Daniel Santos

$12,154 Vol.

42%

icon for Éder Mauro

Éder Mauro

$5,288 Vol.

1%

icon for Dirceu Ten Caten

Dirceu Ten Caten

$2,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$2,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogério Barra

Rogério Barra

$2,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulo Rocha

Paulo Rocha

$2,855 Vol.

<1%

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor of Pará, holds the strongest position in the 2026 race due to her recent polling lead and party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 first round. The latest AtlasIntel survey from early September shows her at 48.5% (52% of valid votes) against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, a margin that could allow a first-round victory under Brazilian electoral rules. Earlier surveys from Real Time and Quaest indicated tighter contests or technical ties, but Ghassan's advantage has widened with active campaigning, including regional events and coalition support. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency, approval ratings, and the low single-digit support for other registered candidates like Araceli (PSOL) when assessing probabilities. A decisive shift in undecided voters or late campaign developments could still narrow the gap before election day.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,834
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor of Pará, holds the strongest position in the 2026 race due to her recent polling lead and party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 first round. The latest AtlasIntel survey from early September shows her at 48.5% (52% of valid votes) against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, a margin that could allow a first-round victory under Brazilian electoral rules. Earlier surveys from Real Time and Quaest indicated tighter contests or technical ties, but Ghassan's advantage has widened with active campaigning, including regional events and coalition support. Traders appear to weigh her incumbency, approval ratings, and the low single-digit support for other registered candidates like Araceli (PSOL) when assessing probabilities. A decisive shift in undecided voters or late campaign developments could still narrow the gap before election day.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,834
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

80%
Oui
icon for Omar Aziz va-t-il gagner l'élection au poste de gouverneur de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

Omar Aziz va-t-il gagner l'élection au poste de gouverneur de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

61%
Oui
icon for Dr Furlan remportera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de l'Amapá en 2026 ?

Dr Furlan remportera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de l'Amapá en 2026 ?

92%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Pará » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Hana Ghassan » à 57%, suivi de « Dr. Daniel Santos » à 42%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Pará » a généré $45.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Pará », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Pará » est « Hana Ghassan » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Dr. Daniel Santos » à 42%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Pará » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.