The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJoão Campos 90%
Raquel Lyra 90%
Ivan Moraes 90%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
João Campos
90%
Raquel Lyra
90%
Ivan Moraes
90%
João Campos 90%
Raquel Lyra 90%
Ivan Moraes 90%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
João Campos
$0 Vol.
90%
Raquel Lyra
$0 Vol.
90%
Ivan Moraes
$0 Vol.
90%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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