Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, leads the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race as the frontrunner in recent polling, which has informed trader positioning on the market. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows her at 44% against 36% for main challenger João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor, with the gap exceeding the margin of error; Datafolha results from mid-August similarly place her ahead at 47% to 40%. Lyra’s government approval stands near 68%, supporting her position ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, while Campos draws backing from President Lula. Minor candidates, including Ivan Moraes (PSOL), register 1% or less. The race remains subject to shifts from campaign dynamics and turnout in this state with over 7 million eligible voters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRaquel Lyra 64%
João Campos 36%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$30,644 Vol.
$30,644 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Raquel Lyra
64%
João Campos
36%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 64%
João Campos 36%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$30,644 Vol.
$30,644 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Raquel Lyra
$13,130 Vol.
64%
João Campos
$14,489 Vol.
36%
Ivan Moraes
$3,025 Vol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, leads the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race as the frontrunner in recent polling, which has informed trader positioning on the market. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows her at 44% against 36% for main challenger João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor, with the gap exceeding the margin of error; Datafolha results from mid-August similarly place her ahead at 47% to 40%. Lyra’s government approval stands near 68%, supporting her position ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, while Campos draws backing from President Lula. Minor candidates, including Ivan Moraes (PSOL), register 1% or less. The race remains subject to shifts from campaign dynamics and turnout in this state with over 7 million eligible voters.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$30,644Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, leads the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race as the frontrunner in recent polling, which has informed trader positioning on the market. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows her at 44% against 36% for main challenger João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor, with the gap exceeding the margin of error; Datafolha results from mid-August similarly place her ahead at 47% to 40%. Lyra’s government approval stands near 68%, supporting her position ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, while Campos draws backing from President Lula. Minor candidates, including Ivan Moraes (PSOL), register 1% or less. The race remains subject to shifts from campaign dynamics and turnout in this state with over 7 million eligible voters.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,644Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking reelection, leads the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race as the frontrunner in recent polling, which has informed trader positioning on the market. The latest Quaest survey from late August shows her at 44% against 36% for main challenger João Campos (PSB), the former Recife mayor, with the gap exceeding the margin of error; Datafolha results from mid-August similarly place her ahead at 47% to 40%. Lyra’s government approval stands near 68%, supporting her position ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, while Campos draws backing from President Lula. Minor candidates, including Ivan Moraes (PSOL), register 1% or less. The race remains subject to shifts from campaign dynamics and turnout in this state with over 7 million eligible voters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes