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icon for Élection du Sénat du Paraná : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection du Sénat du Paraná : 1ère place

icon for Élection du Sénat du Paraná : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection du Sénat du Paraná : 1ère place

Deltan Dallagnol 42%

Alexandre Curi 27%

Dr. Rosinha 14%

Karen Guerreiro 10%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Deltan Dallagnol 42%

Alexandre Curi 27%

Dr. Rosinha 14%

Karen Guerreiro 10%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Deltan Dallagnol

Deltan Dallagnol

$270 Vol.

42%

icon for Alexandre Curi

Alexandre Curi

$142 Vol.

27%

icon for Dr. Rosinha

Dr. Rosinha

$90 Vol.

14%

icon for Karen Guerreiro

Karen Guerreiro

$40 Vol.

10%

icon for Gleisi

Gleisi

$60 Vol.

8%

icon for Filipe Barros

Filipe Barros

$40 Vol.

8%

icon for Marcelo Marcelino

Marcelo Marcelino

$60 Vol.

8%

icon for Joaquim do MLB

Joaquim do MLB

$81 Vol.

7%

icon for Cristina Reis Graeml

Cristina Reis Graeml

$40 Vol.

7%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from mid-August, including IRG and Paraná Pesquisas, show Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) narrowly ahead or tied with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Filipe Barros (PL) in the first-vote scenario for Paraná’s two Senate seats, reflecting a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 election. Right-wing candidates split support across multiple names while PT options like Gleisi and Dr. Rosinha consolidate left-leaning votes, sustaining the tight contest reflected in current trader pricing. Deltan’s lead rests on his prior anti-corruption profile, though eligibility challenges from his earlier mandate revocation remain unresolved. Upcoming late-August surveys or candidate alliances could widen gaps by clarifying voter consolidation before registration deadlines close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$823
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from mid-August, including IRG and Paraná Pesquisas, show Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) narrowly ahead or tied with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Filipe Barros (PL) in the first-vote scenario for Paraná’s two Senate seats, reflecting a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 election. Right-wing candidates split support across multiple names while PT options like Gleisi and Dr. Rosinha consolidate left-leaning votes, sustaining the tight contest reflected in current trader pricing. Deltan’s lead rests on his prior anti-corruption profile, though eligibility challenges from his earlier mandate revocation remain unresolved. Upcoming late-August surveys or candidate alliances could widen gaps by clarifying voter consolidation before registration deadlines close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$823
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Alexandre Curi obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Paraná ?

Alexandre Curi obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Paraná ?

30%
Oui
icon for Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

27%
icon for Simone Tebet obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?

Simone Tebet obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?

30%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection du Sénat du Paraná : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Deltan Dallagnol » à 42%, suivi de « Alexandre Curi » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 42¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection du Sénat du Paraná : 1ère place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection du Sénat du Paraná : 1ère place », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection du Sénat du Paraná : 1ère place » est « Deltan Dallagnol » à 42%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Alexandre Curi » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection du Sénat du Paraná : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.