Recent polls in Tocantins show a tight contest for first place in the October 4 presidential first round, with Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) and incumbent Lula (PT) essentially tied within margins of error across multiple surveys from mid-September. Flavio has posted modest gains in the state amid broader right-wing momentum tied to his father's legacy and party infrastructure, while Lula maintains core support despite national approval challenges. Minor candidates such as Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos register low single digits and fragment the remainder. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with limited separation likely until final voter turnout patterns, late campaign events, or regional economic signals clarify preferences in the coming weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFlavio Bolsonaro 54%
Lula 21%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$24,700 Vol.
$24,700 Vol.
Flavio Bolsonaro
54%
Lula
40%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 54%
Lula 21%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$24,700 Vol.
$24,700 Vol.
Flavio Bolsonaro
54%
Lula
40%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in Tocantins show a tight contest for first place in the October 4 presidential first round, with Flavio Bolsonaro (PL) and incumbent Lula (PT) essentially tied within margins of error across multiple surveys from mid-September. Flavio has posted modest gains in the state amid broader right-wing momentum tied to his father's legacy and party infrastructure, while Lula maintains core support despite national approval challenges. Minor candidates such as Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos register low single digits and fragment the remainder. Trader pricing reflects this balance, with limited separation likely until final voter turnout patterns, late campaign events, or regional economic signals clarify preferences in the coming weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix au premier tour de l’élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?
Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en provenance de Bahia ?
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