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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Santa Catarina

icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Santa Catarina
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Santa Catarina

Flavio Bolsonaro 91%

Écrivain Augusto Cury 16.8%

Hertz Dias 16.3%

Lula 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Flavio Bolsonaro 91%

Écrivain Augusto Cury 16.8%

Hertz Dias 16.3%

Lula 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$401 Vol.

83%

icon for Écrivain Augusto Cury

Écrivain Augusto Cury

$120 Vol.

17%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$120 Vol.

16%

icon for Lula

Lula

$120 Vol.

15%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$120 Vol.

14%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$120 Vol.

14%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$120 Vol.

13%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$120 Vol.

13%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$120 Vol.

12%

icon for Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi

Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi

$120 Vol.

15%

icon for Zema

Zema

$110 Vol.

15%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$130 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$130 Vol.

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro’s strong positioning as the Liberal Party nominee, backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and the party’s established base, drives trader consensus on his lead in Santa Catarina’s first-round vote on October 4. Santa Catarina’s conservative electorate in Brazil’s southern region has consistently favored right-wing candidates, as seen in prior cycles, with local PL strength reinforced by Governor Jorginho Mello’s expected performance. National polls show a competitive Lula-Flávio matchup overall, yet regional dynamics amplify Flávio’s edge here amid limited standout challengers from other parties. Recent formalization of his candidacy in July and campaign launch have stabilized the field without major shifts in the state’s preference patterns.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,854
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro’s strong positioning as the Liberal Party nominee, backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and the party’s established base, drives trader consensus on his lead in Santa Catarina’s first-round vote on October 4. Santa Catarina’s conservative electorate in Brazil’s southern region has consistently favored right-wing candidates, as seen in prior cycles, with local PL strength reinforced by Governor Jorginho Mello’s expected performance. National polls show a competitive Lula-Flávio matchup overall, yet regional dynamics amplify Flávio’s edge here amid limited standout challengers from other parties. Recent formalization of his candidacy in July and campaign launch have stabilized the field without major shifts in the state’s preference patterns.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,854
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Connexes

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne à São Paulo ?

Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne à São Paulo ?

59%
Oui
icon for Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix au prochain scrutin présidentiel au Brésil à Tocantins ?

Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix au prochain scrutin présidentiel au Brésil à Tocantins ?

38%
Oui
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en provenance du Paraná ?

Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en provenance du Paraná ?

69%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Santa Catarina » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Flavio Bolsonaro » à 83%, suivi de « Écrivain Augusto Cury » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 83¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Santa Catarina » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Santa Catarina », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Santa Catarina » est « Flavio Bolsonaro » à 83%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Écrivain Augusto Cury » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Santa Catarina » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.