Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará for first place in the October 4 first-round vote, as reflected in the market's 94.5% consensus. Recent state-level polling from July through mid-September consistently places him at 37-49% support, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro by margins outside the error range, with Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado trailing in single digits. This positioning aligns with Lula's established strength in northern states and the fragmentation of opposition votes. With roughly 10-15% undecided or blank/null responses in most surveys, shifts in turnout or late consolidation behind a single challenger remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLula 93%
Flavio Bolsonaro 5.0%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Hertz Dias <1%
$19,965 Vol.
$19,965 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Lula
93%
Flavio Bolsonaro
5%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Samara
<1%
Écrivain Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 93%
Flavio Bolsonaro 5.0%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Hertz Dias <1%
$19,965 Vol.
$19,965 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Lula
$10,519 Vol.
93%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,243 Vol.
5%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$569 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$868 Vol.
<1%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi
$1,294 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$668 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$690 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$663 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$662 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$703 Vol.
<1%
Écrivain Augusto Cury
$490 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$608 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$989 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará for first place in the October 4 first-round vote, as reflected in the market's 94.5% consensus. Recent state-level polling from July through mid-September consistently places him at 37-49% support, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro by margins outside the error range, with Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado trailing in single digits. This positioning aligns with Lula's established strength in northern states and the fragmentation of opposition votes. With roughly 10-15% undecided or blank/null responses in most surveys, shifts in turnout or late consolidation behind a single challenger remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Volume
$19,965Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará for first place in the October 4 first-round vote, as reflected in the market's 94.5% consensus. Recent state-level polling from July through mid-September consistently places him at 37-49% support, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro by margins outside the error range, with Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado trailing in single digits. This positioning aligns with Lula's established strength in northern states and the fragmentation of opposition votes. With roughly 10-15% undecided or blank/null responses in most surveys, shifts in turnout or late consolidation behind a single challenger remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$19,965Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará for first place in the October 4 first-round vote, as reflected in the market's 94.5% consensus. Recent state-level polling from July through mid-September consistently places him at 37-49% support, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro by margins outside the error range, with Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado trailing in single digits. This positioning aligns with Lula's established strength in northern states and the fragmentation of opposition votes. With roughly 10-15% undecided or blank/null responses in most surveys, shifts in turnout or late consolidation behind a single challenger remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en Paraíba ?
98%
Oui
Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix au premier tour de l’élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?
69%
Oui
Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil dans l'Amazonas ?
71%
Oui
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes