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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Catarina
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Catarina

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Catarina
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Catarina

Jorginho Mello 97.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.8%

João Rodrigues <1%

Gelson Merisio <1%

Polymarket

$125,161 Vol.

Jorginho Mello 97.6%

Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.8%

João Rodrigues <1%

Gelson Merisio <1%

Polymarket

$125,161 Vol.

icon for Jorginho Mello

Jorginho Mello

$31,111 Vol.

98%

icon for Marcelo Brigadeiro

Marcelo Brigadeiro

$16,041 Vol.

2%

icon for João Rodrigues

João Rodrigues

$3,040 Vol.

1%

icon for Gelson Merisio

Gelson Merisio

$3,128 Vol.

1%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$64,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$2,765 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcos Vieira

Marcos Vieira

$2,478 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriano Silva

Adriano Silva

$2,175 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina running for reelection with the Liberal Party, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race according to recent polling. Surveys from mid-to-late September show him at 49-66% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of challengers including João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB). His position stems from strong incumbency performance since winning the 2022 runoff, consistent campaign outreach to business groups such as Fiesc and Facisc, agronegócio leaders, and other constituencies, plus a formal commitment against tax increases. Official party launch in August and alignment with broader right-leaning coalitions have reinforced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A first-round victory remains the most likely path, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome before voting concludes.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$125,161
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina running for reelection with the Liberal Party, holds a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race according to recent polling. Surveys from mid-to-late September show him at 49-66% in first-round scenarios, well ahead of challengers including João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB). His position stems from strong incumbency performance since winning the 2022 runoff, consistent campaign outreach to business groups such as Fiesc and Facisc, agronegócio leaders, and other constituencies, plus a formal commitment against tax increases. Official party launch in August and alignment with broader right-leaning coalitions have reinforced trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A first-round victory remains the most likely path, though late developments such as shifts in turnout or unforeseen events could still influence the final outcome before voting concludes.

The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$125,161
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

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Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

98%
Oui
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Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

56%
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Fábio va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de Sergipe en 2026 ?

82%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Catarina » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jorginho Mello » à 98%, suivi de « Marcelo Brigadeiro » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Catarina » a généré $125.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Catarina », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Catarina » est « Jorginho Mello » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Marcelo Brigadeiro » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Santa Catarina » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.