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icon for Élection du Sénat du district fédéral : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection du Sénat du district fédéral : 2e place

icon for Élection du Sénat du district fédéral : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection du Sénat du district fédéral : 2e place

Professeur Guilherme Amorim 28%

Tiago 27%

Michelle Bolsonaro 27%

Bia Kicis 26%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Professeur Guilherme Amorim 28%

Tiago 27%

Michelle Bolsonaro 27%

Bia Kicis 26%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Professeur Guilherme Amorim

Professeur Guilherme Amorim

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Tiago

Tiago

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Bia Kicis

Bia Kicis

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Marley

Marley

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for David Horn

David Horn

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Guto Felício dos Santos

Guto Felício dos Santos

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Avenir Rosa

Avenir Rosa

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Erika Kokay

Erika Kokay

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Sebastião Coelho

Sebastião Coelho

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Leila do Vôlei

Leila do Vôlei

$0 Vol.

20%

icon for Ronaldo Fonseca

Ronaldo Fonseca

$0 Vol.

20%

icon for Zanata

Zanata

$0 Vol.

19%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Distrito Federal Senate race, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for second place driven by vote fragmentation on the right and competitive polling among established names. Recent surveys show Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) clustered near the top, with Erika Kokay (PT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Sebastião Coelho (Novo) trailing but within striking distance, while lower-polling options like Zanata and others hover further back. The presence of multiple PL-aligned candidates creates natural vote splitting that sustains uncertainty over final ordering, compounded by the October 4 election date and limited remaining time for consolidation. Shifts in turnout among conservative or PT-leaning blocs, formal alliances, or late polling swings could quickly reorder the field and move implied probabilities.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Distrito Federal Senate race, trader consensus reflects a tightly contested battle for second place driven by vote fragmentation on the right and competitive polling among established names. Recent surveys show Leila do Vôlei (PDT) and Michelle Bolsonaro (PL) clustered near the top, with Erika Kokay (PT), Bia Kicis (PL), and Sebastião Coelho (Novo) trailing but within striking distance, while lower-polling options like Zanata and others hover further back. The presence of multiple PL-aligned candidates creates natural vote splitting that sustains uncertainty over final ordering, compounded by the October 4 election date and limited remaining time for consolidation. Shifts in turnout among conservative or PT-leaning blocs, formal alliances, or late polling swings could quickly reorder the field and move implied probabilities.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Tiago remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

Tiago remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

28%
Oui
icon for Salles remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?

Salles remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?

40%
Oui
icon for Xuxa do Amazonas remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

Xuxa do Amazonas remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amazonas en 2026 ?

28%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection du Sénat du district fédéral : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Professeur Guilherme Amorim » à 28%, suivi de « Tiago » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 28¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection du Sénat du district fédéral : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection du Sénat du district fédéral : 2e place », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection du Sénat du district fédéral : 2e place » est « Professeur Guilherme Amorim » à 28%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Tiago » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection du Sénat du district fédéral : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.