Lula maintains a commanding lead in Sergipe polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with recent Quaest surveys placing him at 53% against 19-20% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for other registered candidates. As incumbent president, Lula benefits from established support in the Northeast, where government approval registers around 60% and positive evaluations near 50% in state-level data. Local factors include alignment with the sitting governor's re-election bid and consistent regional voting patterns favoring PT candidates. Trader consensus reflects this entrenched position, though shifts could arise from late campaign dynamics, changes in national economic conditions, or turnout variations among undecided voters (11-12% in recent samples) before the first-round ballot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLula 96.0%
Clariana Barao 2.1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.6%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$13,719 Vol.
$13,719 Vol.
Lula
96%
Clariana Barao
2%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Écrivain Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Samara
<1%
Lula 96.0%
Clariana Barao 2.1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.6%
Edmilson Costa <1%
$13,719 Vol.
$13,719 Vol.
Lula
96%
Clariana Barao
2%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Écrivain Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Samara
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Sergipe polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with recent Quaest surveys placing him at 53% against 19-20% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for other registered candidates. As incumbent president, Lula benefits from established support in the Northeast, where government approval registers around 60% and positive evaluations near 50% in state-level data. Local factors include alignment with the sitting governor's re-election bid and consistent regional voting patterns favoring PT candidates. Trader consensus reflects this entrenched position, though shifts could arise from late campaign dynamics, changes in national economic conditions, or turnout variations among undecided voters (11-12% in recent samples) before the first-round ballot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne à São Paulo ?
Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en Paraíba ?
Flavio Bolsonaro remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne dans le District fédéral ?
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