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icon for Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 2e place

icon for Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 2e place

Zenaide Maia 39%

Rafael Motta 37%

Samanda de Lula 28%

Tércio Tinôco 28%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Zenaide Maia 39%

Rafael Motta 37%

Samanda de Lula 28%

Tércio Tinôco 28%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$46 Vol.

39%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$46 Vol.

37%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$46 Vol.

28%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$46 Vol.

28%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$46 Vol.

28%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$46 Vol.

28%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$46 Vol.

28%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$46 Vol.

27%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$46 Vol.

27%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$46 Vol.

24%

icon for Professeur Guilherme

Professeur Guilherme

$46 Vol.

21%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$46 Vol.

20%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$46 Vol.

19%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$55 Vol.

22%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling shows a technical tie among four leading contenders—incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos), Samanda Alves (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), and Rafael Motta (PDT)—for the two Rio Grande do Norte Senate seats, with Zenaide Maia (PSD) also within the margin of error. This fragmentation, combined with 13 registered candidates after party conventions, keeps second-place probabilities closely balanced as voters split preferences across parties. The open contest for the second vacancy, absent a dominant frontrunner, sustains trader uncertainty reflected in the market. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key blocs, additional polling releases before the October 2026 first round, or clearer consolidation around one challenger could separate outcomes.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$652
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling shows a technical tie among four leading contenders—incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos), Samanda Alves (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), and Rafael Motta (PDT)—for the two Rio Grande do Norte Senate seats, with Zenaide Maia (PSD) also within the margin of error. This fragmentation, combined with 13 registered candidates after party conventions, keeps second-place probabilities closely balanced as voters split preferences across parties. The open contest for the second vacancy, absent a dominant frontrunner, sustains trader uncertainty reflected in the market. Late-campaign shifts in turnout among key blocs, additional polling releases before the October 2026 first round, or clearer consolidation around one challenger could separate outcomes.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$652
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

60%
icon for Marcel Van Hattem obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

Marcel Van Hattem obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

36%
Oui
icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

43%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 14 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Zenaide Maia » à 39%, suivi de « Rafael Motta » à 37%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 39¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 2e place », parcourez les 14 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 2e place » est « Zenaide Maia » à 39%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 39% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Rafael Motta » à 37%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection sénatoriale du Rio Grande do Norte : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.