Multiple strong contenders keep the São Paulo Senate race for second place tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, as two seats are filled in a single round where voters select two names. Recent polls show ex-ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, with Guilherme Derrite close behind and names like Petter Maahs, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles within striking distance. The fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates, combined with shifting alliances and undecided voters, sustains the competitive positioning reflected in trader consensus. Upcoming polling releases, candidate conventions, and endorsements could consolidate support or widen gaps among the top group.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMarina Silva 27%
Guilherme Derrite 23%
Petter Maahs 16%
Simone Tebet 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Marina Silva
27%
Guilherme Derrite
23%
Petter Maahs
16%
Simone Tebet
14%
Weller Gonçalves
11%
André do Prado
10%
Soninha Francine
10%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
9%
Geraldo Rufino
9%
Salles
8%
Marcio Alves
8%
Maíra de Souza
7%
Ednelson Cesaretti
6%
William Teixeira
6%
Marina Silva 27%
Guilherme Derrite 23%
Petter Maahs 16%
Simone Tebet 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Marina Silva
$123 Vol.
27%
Guilherme Derrite
$134 Vol.
23%
Petter Maahs
$38 Vol.
16%
Simone Tebet
$123 Vol.
14%
Weller Gonçalves
$38 Vol.
11%
André do Prado
$78 Vol.
10%
Soninha Francine
$70 Vol.
10%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$58 Vol.
9%
Geraldo Rufino
$56 Vol.
9%
Salles
$58 Vol.
8%
Marcio Alves
$58 Vol.
8%
Maíra de Souza
$49 Vol.
7%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$71 Vol.
6%
William Teixeira
$81 Vol.
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple strong contenders keep the São Paulo Senate race for second place tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, as two seats are filled in a single round where voters select two names. Recent polls show ex-ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, with Guilherme Derrite close behind and names like Petter Maahs, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles within striking distance. The fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates, combined with shifting alliances and undecided voters, sustains the competitive positioning reflected in trader consensus. Upcoming polling releases, candidate conventions, and endorsements could consolidate support or widen gaps among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$1,038Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple strong contenders keep the São Paulo Senate race for second place tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, as two seats are filled in a single round where voters select two names. Recent polls show ex-ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, with Guilherme Derrite close behind and names like Petter Maahs, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles within striking distance. The fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates, combined with shifting alliances and undecided voters, sustains the competitive positioning reflected in trader consensus. Upcoming polling releases, candidate conventions, and endorsements could consolidate support or widen gaps among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,038Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple strong contenders keep the São Paulo Senate race for second place tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, as two seats are filled in a single round where voters select two names. Recent polls show ex-ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, with Guilherme Derrite close behind and names like Petter Maahs, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles within striking distance. The fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates, combined with shifting alliances and undecided voters, sustains the competitive positioning reflected in trader consensus. Upcoming polling releases, candidate conventions, and endorsements could consolidate support or widen gaps among the top group.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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Gleisi remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix à l'élection sénatoriale du Paraná en 2026 ?
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