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Politique·Élection Principale

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle en Zambie

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle en Zambie
Politique·Élection Principale

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle en Zambie

Hakainde Hichilema 79%

Brian Mundubile 14%

Fred M'membe 2.2%

Polymarket

$20,698 Vol.

Hakainde Hichilema 79%

Brian Mundubile 14%

Fred M'membe 2.2%

Polymarket

$20,698 Vol.

icon for Hakainde Hichilema

Hakainde Hichilema

$4,107 Vol.

79%

icon for Brian Mundubile

Brian Mundubile

$15,510 Vol.

14%

icon for Fred M'membe

Fred M'membe

$1,082 Vol.

2%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Hakainde Hichilema, the incumbent UPND president seeking a second term, holds the strongest position ahead of Zambia’s August 13, 2026, general election, reflected in trader pricing. He filed nomination papers in May 2026 with Vice President Mutale Nalumango as running mate and secured endorsements from multiple smaller parties in the UPND Alliance. Opinion surveys show him leading with 55–63 percent support, aided by his administration’s focus on debt restructuring, economic stabilization, and cross-provincial cabinet representation. Fragmented opposition parties have struggled to consolidate; Brian Mundubile, backed by the Tonse Alliance and selected as its candidate in January 2026, trails notably, while Fred M’membe of the Socialist Party and the People’s Pact registers minimal backing. Calls for broader opposition unity have not produced coordinated momentum, leaving Hichilema’s path to re-election the clearest among declared contenders.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$20,698
Date de fin
14 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).Hakainde Hichilema, the incumbent UPND president seeking a second term, holds the strongest position ahead of Zambia’s August 13, 2026, general election, reflected in trader pricing. He filed nomination papers in May 2026 with Vice President Mutale Nalumango as running mate and secured endorsements from multiple smaller parties in the UPND Alliance. Opinion surveys show him leading with 55–63 percent support, aided by his administration’s focus on debt restructuring, economic stabilization, and cross-provincial cabinet representation. Fragmented opposition parties have struggled to consolidate; Brian Mundubile, backed by the Tonse Alliance and selected as its candidate in January 2026, trails notably, while Fred M’membe of the Socialist Party and the People’s Pact registers minimal backing. Calls for broader opposition unity have not produced coordinated momentum, leaving Hichilema’s path to re-election the clearest among declared contenders.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$20,698
Date de fin
14 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle en Zambie » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Hakainde Hichilema » à 79%, suivi de « Brian Mundubile » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 79¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle en Zambie » a généré $20.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 5, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle en Zambie », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle en Zambie » est « Hakainde Hichilema » à 79%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Brian Mundubile » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle en Zambie » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.