The crowded field of more than 10 candidates competing for Sergipe's two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities tightly bunched, with recent polling averages showing André Moura, Delegado André David, Eduardo Amorim, Delegado Alessandro, Rogério Carvalho and several others clustered within a narrow range and high undecided shares. No single contender has consolidated broad support across the state's electorate, reflecting divided party bases and limited differentiation on key state issues ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing a wide group near even odds. Further statewide surveys, formal party alliances, or major campaign events before the conventions finalize could begin to separate frontrunners by clarifying voter preferences.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEdvaldo 45%
Paulinho da União Tur 44%
Renatinha 44%
Coronel Rocha 43%

Edvaldo
45%

Paulinho da União Tur
44%

Renatinha
44%

Coronel Rocha
43%

Eduardo Amorim
43%

Rogerio Carvalho
43%

Delegado Alessandro
43%

Iran Barbosa
43%

Delegado André David
43%

André Moura
42%

Rodrigo Valadares
42%
Edvaldo 45%
Paulinho da União Tur 44%
Renatinha 44%
Coronel Rocha 43%

Edvaldo
45%

Paulinho da União Tur
44%

Renatinha
44%

Coronel Rocha
43%

Eduardo Amorim
43%

Rogerio Carvalho
43%

Delegado Alessandro
43%

Iran Barbosa
43%

Delegado André David
43%

André Moura
42%

Rodrigo Valadares
42%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of more than 10 candidates competing for Sergipe's two Senate seats has kept first-place probabilities tightly bunched, with recent polling averages showing André Moura, Delegado André David, Eduardo Amorim, Delegado Alessandro, Rogério Carvalho and several others clustered within a narrow range and high undecided shares. No single contender has consolidated broad support across the state's electorate, reflecting divided party bases and limited differentiation on key state issues ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing a wide group near even odds. Further statewide surveys, formal party alliances, or major campaign events before the conventions finalize could begin to separate frontrunners by clarifying voter preferences.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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