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icon for Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place

Luiz Eugenio 44%

Paula Falcão 43%

Pedro Paulo 42%

Benedita da Silva 42%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Luiz Eugenio 44%

Paula Falcão 43%

Pedro Paulo 42%

Benedita da Silva 42%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$0 Vol.

27%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Real Time Big Data shows Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat while the contest for second place remains fragmented among a dozen candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Mônica Benício (PSOL), Márcio Canella (União), and others register low double-digit or single-digit support, with high undecided shares and rejection rates preventing any contender from consolidating an advantage. Party realignments following Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid and limited campaign activity have kept the field open. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely only after further candidate formalizations, new surveys, or late alliances ahead of the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Real Time Big Data shows Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat while the contest for second place remains fragmented among a dozen candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Mônica Benício (PSOL), Márcio Canella (União), and others register low double-digit or single-digit support, with high undecided shares and rejection rates preventing any contender from consolidating an advantage. Party realignments following Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid and limited campaign activity have kept the field open. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely only after further candidate formalizations, new surveys, or late alliances ahead of the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Pedro Paulo remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

Pedro Paulo remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro en 2026 ?

45%
Oui
icon for Manuela D'Ávila remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

Manuela D'Ávila remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Sul ?

44%
Oui
icon for Linhares Jiboia remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

Linhares Jiboia remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Rio Grande do Norte ?

46%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 16 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Luiz Eugenio » à 44%, suivi de « Paula Falcão » à 43%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place », parcourez les 16 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » est « Luiz Eugenio » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Paula Falcão » à 43%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de Rio de Janeiro : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.