Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling averages from early September place him in the low-to-mid 40s with a double-digit lead over Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), reflecting his access to state resources, established party alliances including PP and supporting groups, and family political network. Efraim has intensified visibility through large-scale carreatas and policy proposals on tax reduction and public security, yet trails in surveys. Minor candidates register negligible support. The election timeline leaves limited room for major shifts before voting begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLucas Ribeiro 82%
Efraim Filho 11%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$62,911 Vol.
$62,911 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
82%
Efraim Filho
11%
Cícero Lucena
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Flávio Lúcio
<1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 82%
Efraim Filho 11%
Cícero Lucena 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.3%
$62,911 Vol.
$62,911 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$18,835 Vol.
82%
Efraim Filho
$14,318 Vol.
11%
Cícero Lucena
$20,573 Vol.
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
$919 Vol.
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,461 Vol.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$902 Vol.
<1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,384 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling averages from early September place him in the low-to-mid 40s with a double-digit lead over Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), reflecting his access to state resources, established party alliances including PP and supporting groups, and family political network. Efraim has intensified visibility through large-scale carreatas and policy proposals on tax reduction and public security, yet trails in surveys. Minor candidates register negligible support. The election timeline leaves limited room for major shifts before voting begins.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volume
$62,911Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling averages from early September place him in the low-to-mid 40s with a double-digit lead over Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), reflecting his access to state resources, established party alliances including PP and supporting groups, and family political network. Efraim has intensified visibility through large-scale carreatas and policy proposals on tax reduction and public security, yet trails in surveys. Minor candidates register negligible support. The election timeline leaves limited room for major shifts before voting begins.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,911Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, holds the strongest position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polling averages from early September place him in the low-to-mid 40s with a double-digit lead over Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL), reflecting his access to state resources, established party alliances including PP and supporting groups, and family political network. Efraim has intensified visibility through large-scale carreatas and policy proposals on tax reduction and public security, yet trails in surveys. Minor candidates register negligible support. The election timeline leaves limited room for major shifts before voting begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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