United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 Moscow Oblast Duma election as the clear frontrunner at 96.8% implied probability, reflecting its incumbency advantage with 36 of 50 current seats and consistent dominance in regional legislative contests under Russia's parallel voting system of party-list and single-member districts. Recent candidate nominations, federal party congress activities, and polling trends ahead of the coinciding national State Duma vote reinforce trader consensus around the party's organizational reach and voter recognition in the oblast. Minor parties such as New People, Rodina, and the Greens register negligible market shares under 2%, consistent with historical results and structural barriers including the 5% threshold. Late developments like coordinated opposition efforts, turnout shifts, or eligibility rulings could still alter outcomes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUnited Russia 96.7%
The Greens 1.7%
New People 1.4%
Rodina 1.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
United Russia
97%
The Greens
2%
New People
1%
Rodina
1%
Communists of Russia
1%
A Just Russia
1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
CPRF
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
United Russia 96.7%
The Greens 1.7%
New People 1.4%
Rodina 1.2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
United Russia
$1,343 Vol.
97%
The Greens
$492 Vol.
2%
New People
$869 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$347 Vol.
1%
Communists of Russia
$284 Vol.
1%
A Just Russia
$604 Vol.
1%
Party of Pensioners
$592 Vol.
<1%
CPRF
$347 Vol.
<1%
LDPR
$352 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$362 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 Moscow Oblast Duma election as the clear frontrunner at 96.8% implied probability, reflecting its incumbency advantage with 36 of 50 current seats and consistent dominance in regional legislative contests under Russia's parallel voting system of party-list and single-member districts. Recent candidate nominations, federal party congress activities, and polling trends ahead of the coinciding national State Duma vote reinforce trader consensus around the party's organizational reach and voter recognition in the oblast. Minor parties such as New People, Rodina, and the Greens register negligible market shares under 2%, consistent with historical results and structural barriers including the 5% threshold. Late developments like coordinated opposition efforts, turnout shifts, or eligibility rulings could still alter outcomes before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volume
$5,595Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 Moscow Oblast Duma election as the clear frontrunner at 96.8% implied probability, reflecting its incumbency advantage with 36 of 50 current seats and consistent dominance in regional legislative contests under Russia's parallel voting system of party-list and single-member districts. Recent candidate nominations, federal party congress activities, and polling trends ahead of the coinciding national State Duma vote reinforce trader consensus around the party's organizational reach and voter recognition in the oblast. Minor parties such as New People, Rodina, and the Greens register negligible market shares under 2%, consistent with historical results and structural barriers including the 5% threshold. Late developments like coordinated opposition efforts, turnout shifts, or eligibility rulings could still alter outcomes before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$5,595Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 12:14 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 Moscow Oblast Duma election as the clear frontrunner at 96.8% implied probability, reflecting its incumbency advantage with 36 of 50 current seats and consistent dominance in regional legislative contests under Russia's parallel voting system of party-list and single-member districts. Recent candidate nominations, federal party congress activities, and polling trends ahead of the coinciding national State Duma vote reinforce trader consensus around the party's organizational reach and voter recognition in the oblast. Minor parties such as New People, Rodina, and the Greens register negligible market shares under 2%, consistent with historical results and structural barriers including the 5% threshold. Late developments like coordinated opposition efforts, turnout shifts, or eligibility rulings could still alter outcomes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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